2009 World Series Odds after Game 3

With Game 3 in the books, here are my updated playoff odds. First, I'll again present the updated team numbers for the remaining games. As far as what's changed since Game 2, the primary thing is the Yankees avenged their home loss, and the Phillies announced that Joe Blanton would be pitching Game 4. I had assumed they'd start Cliff Lee two more times. #games 4 home games 2 #outs 100 offense 23.1 pitching 15.9 defense -0.2 wpct .669 162 gm equiv 108-54 #games 4 home games 2 #outs 100 offense 22.1 pitching 17.6 defense 0.7 wpct .624 162 gm equiv 101-61 #outs: 27 outs times # of games if the series goes the distance. offense: Total BR for the series using # of outs pitching: Total runs allowed by the pitching for the series defense: Estimated impact of defense over series wpct: Estimated winning percentage for the team based on these playing time estimates and adjusted for home field advantage using the offense, pitching and de...