2009 World Series Odds before Game 6

Hopefully this will be the last time these need to be posted this season. When we last visited these odds after Game 4, the Yankees' probability of winning the World Series was 92.1%. Here are the revised team strengths for the last two potential games of the season. #games 2 home games 2 #outs 50 offense 11.8 pitching 8.0 defense 0.1 wpct .700 162 gm equiv 113-49 #outs: 25 outs times # of games if the series goes the distance. offense: Total BR for the series using # of outs pitching: Total runs allowed by the pitching for the series defense: Estimated impact of defense over series wpct: Estimated winning percentage for the team based on these playing time estimates and adjusted for home field advantage using the offense, pitching and defense plugged into Pythagenpat 162 gm equiv: wpct translated to a 162 game season #games 2 home games 0 #outs 50 offense 11.1 pitching 8.9 defense 0.3 wpct .603 162 gm equiv 98-64 The assum...