2011 NFL Survivor: Week 9

Last week:

BAL: W, 30-27
SF: W, 20-10
NYG: W, 20-17
NO: L, 31-21
TEN: W, 27-10
HOU: W, 24-14

The flipping Cardinals.

Teams used: Houston, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, New England, Cincinnati, New Orleans, Tennessee.

This week's consensus numbers from OFP and Yahoo!:

Houston (vs. Cleveland)
Already picked.
Atlanta (at Indianapolis)
Not sure why the Falcons are so popular in Y!. Despite my apparent obsession with fading the Colts, no real interest in Atlanta this week.

Dallas (vs. Seattle)
The Cowboys are the second biggest favorite of the week by a pretty good margin, and not especially popular (particularly in OFP). So that is a good start. They don't have much future value either, with one exception -- hosting the Dolphins in Week 12. That wouldn't normally be a huge deal, but W12 is shaping up to be tricky.

Oakland (vs. Denver)
Speaking of the Broncos. The Raiders aren't favored by as much as the Cowboys, but they're noticeably less popular, and if I don't use Oakland now I can't see there being another opportunity.

Kansas City (vs. Miami)
Not even close.

New England (vs. NY Giants)New Orleans (vs. Tampa Bay)

Already used.

Philadelphia (vs. Chicago)

A third solid option; big favorites and almost nobody's using them. Future value-wise, the Eagles are going to be large favorites against the Cardinals next week. However, I think Philly is going to be really popular next week because a) the Cardinals suck, b) not many survivors have picked the Eagles (some people picked them in Weeks 2-6, but they're no longer with us), and c) the other really obvious pick next week is the Packers, and a LOT of people have used them.
So can't be positive, but I don't think I'll end up needing the Eagles next week. In W17 though, they host Washington. The last week of the season is normally a mess, with some wacky spreads because the game doesn't matter much (if at all) for some of the elite teams. But it doesn't seem like Philly will be in that boat in W17, since they're currently two games behind the Giants, and tied with the Cowboys; that game will likely matter quite a bit for the Eagles.
In the end, I think Dallas' W12 value outweighs Philly's W10+W17 value, so this week's pick is Philadelphia.