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Apr 29
2008
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Hot fantasy starters to avoidPosted by twilliams in Xavier Nady, Tim Williams, Scott Olsen, Pat Burrell, Josh Willingham, Johnny Cueto, Jayson Werth, Gavin Floyd, fantasy baseball, Cliff Lee, Casey Kotchman, AccuScore |
I spend a lot of time writing about the guys I like. Between the waiver wire wonders, the trade market, and the need for speed articles, I write three times a week about players who I think should be added to your team. But what about the players who you should ignore on the waiver wire? How about the players you should either trade now while they are hot, or just refuse when they come your way in a trade? There's a time and a place for that kind of article, and it is here and now.
Pitchers
Cliff Lee: He has allowed one earnedrun in 31.2 innings, with a 0.41 WHIP. He has also played two games against the A's, one against the Twins, and one against the Royals. The Twins and Royals are the only AL teams under 100 runs scored, and the A's have only recently begun to heat up. On the other hand, I've got four years of numbers that say Lee is as best a 4.00 ERA guy.
Scott Olsen: He may have a 2.06 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP, but I don't trust the 13:13 K:BB ratio.
Johnny Cueto: Take away his seven inning, one hit, 10 strikeout performance and he has a 4.82 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and a 7.39 K/9 ratio. That's not exactly the makings of a dominant pitcher. I would deal him in a single year league, because I don't think his value will be any higher than it is now.
Shawn Chacon: He has allowed a 17:17 K/BB ratio. In his last start he allowed five hits, six walks and struck out three in seven innings, but only had one earned run. The earned runs will go up.
Gavin Floyd: In his last two starts he has a 6.00 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP, with a 3.75 K/9 ratio. I like Danks in Chicago a lot more than Floyd.
Hitters
Pat Burrell: He is hitting .349 with eight homers. It's a contract year, but Burrell is a career .260 hitter, and has never topped .282 in a single season. I think he will end up below .270 with solid power numbers.
Josh Willingham: The last two years he followed up a strong April with a horrible May. He's a streaky hitter which won't help you in head to head leagues, and will frustrate you in 5x5 leagues.
Jayson Werth: Four of his five homers came at Coors, on the road against the Brewers, and on the road against the Pirates, all of which are good home run situations. He's also a career .261 hitter.
Casey Kotchman: Heading in to this season he hit a homer every 40 at bats in the majors. In the minors he hit a homer every 36.5 at bats. I don't buy the new homer every 15 at bats pace.
Xavier Nady: He's a career .278 hitter, and he has never hit over 20 homers in a single season. He also has never seen more than 468 at bats in a season due to his proneness to injuries.
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