Originally posted on Bearcats Blog  |  Last updated 2/1/13
Tomorrow at 11 am, that's right 11 am, Cincinnati travels to wherever Seton Hall is to take on the Seton Hall Pirates. The game will be televised on ESPNU. ESPNU has had 11 am games all season long. Unfortunately for all of us, UC drew the short straw. This isn't so bad for the east coast, but for you west coasters, waking up at 8 to watch Cincinnati basketball isn't the worst way to start your day.  This is the second game of business week that Cincinnati has to take down. If you break the last 10 games into 2 game pods, the next two are at Seton Hall and at Providence. Those are the only 2 game pods you fully expect Cincinnati to sweep. Pitt and Nova at home is another that we should expect them to sweep, but I don't think there would be a lot of shock if they lost either one of those games.  This is a very important game for another reason. Seton Hall is awful. Losing to them wouldn't be a loss to knock UC out of the NCAA tournament, unless it started a full on collapse, but it would be a loss that killed the seeding. Not only in the Big East tournament, but the NCAA tournament. 4 of Seton Hall's 6 conference losses have come by double digits. Cincinnati isn't a team that normally will blow someone out. This is the type of game that Cincinnati should dominate from tip to buzzer.    Stats are BIG EAST PLAY ONLY  Record: 17-4, 5-3  Road/Neutral: 7-1 RPI (from Real Time RPI): 23 Rank: 23/24 Vs Seton Hall: 7-6 At Seton Hall: 0-3 In Big East Play: 3-4 Last Meeting: 62-57 February 18, 2012 Mick Cronin Win Total: 199 Minutes Sean Kilpatrick 35.3 JaQuon Parker 31.9 Cashmere Wright 28.8 Titus Rubles 24.1 Cheikh Mbodj 21.6 Scoring Sean Kilpatrick 17.5 Cashmere Wright 14.3 JaQuon Parker 9 Titus Rubles 6.6 Cheikh Mbodj 5.7 Field Goal % David Nyarsuk 53.8 Cheikh Mbodj 50 Cashmere Wright 41 Sean Kilpatrick 39.4 Justin Jackson 39.1 Free Throw % (Minimum 15 attempts) Cashmere Wright 82.1 Sean Kilpatrick 78 Justin Jackson 69 Titus Rubles 68.4 Cheikh Mbodj 67 3 Pointers Made (3 point %) Sean Kilpatrick 22 (34%) Cashmere Wright 13 (30.2%) JaQuon Parker 9 (33.3%) Jermaine Sanders 5 (29.4%) Titus Rubles 3 (20%) Rebounding Titus Rubles 6 JaQuon Parker 4.7 Cheikh Mbodj 4.5 Justin Jackson 4.4 Sean Kilpatrick 4.4 Assists Cashmere Wright 23 Titus Rubles 20 JaQuon Parker 15 Sean Kilpatrick 13 Justin Jackson 6 Turnovers JaQuon Parker 21 Sean Kilpatrick 14 Titus Rubles 13 Cashmere Wright 12 Justin Jackson 9 Steals Cashmere Wright 9 Sean Kilpatrick 5 Titus Rubles 4 JaQuon Parker 4 Jermaine Sanders 3 Blocks Cheikh Mbodj 18 Justin Jackson 11 David Nyarsuk 8 Sean Kilpatrick 4 Titus Rubles 3 Record: 13-8, 2-6 RPI: 93 Home: 9-2 Record vs Ranked Teams: 0-3 Minutes Fuquan Edwin 34.1 Aaron Cosby 34.1 Gene Teague 29 Kyle Smyth 25.7 Haralds Karlis 22.1 Points Fuquan Edwin 14.1 Aaron Cosby 13 Gene Teague 10.9 Brian Oliver 9.3 Brandon Mobley 8.1 Field Goal % Gene Teague 55.1 Brandon Mobley 53.8 Brian Oliver 42.9 Tom Maayan 42.1 Haralds Karlis 40 Free Throw % Aaron Cosby 79.2 Fuquan Edwin 75.8 Haralds Karlis 75 Gene Teague 52.4 No one else has 15 attempts 3 Pointers Made (3 Pt %) Aaron Cosby 17 (35.4%) Fuquan Edwin 10 (31.3%) Brian Oliver 8 (57.1%) Brandon Mobley 7 (53.8%) Kyle Smyth 6 (24%) Rebounding  Gene Teague 7.7 Fuquan Edwin 6.1 Brian Oliver 4.3 Brandon Mobley 4.1 Kyle Smyth 3.2 Assists Aaron Cosby 32 Tom Maayan 20 Kyle Smyth 17 Fuquan Edwin 16 Gene Teague 15 Turnovers Gene Teague 33 Tom Maayan 26 Aaron Cosby 22 Fuquan Edwin 20 Brandon Mobley 14 Steals Fuquan Edwin 19 Tom Maayan 6 Gene Teague 4 Kyle Smyth 4 Aaron Cosby / Haralds Karlis / Brian Oliver 3 Blocks Fuquan Edwin 4 Gene Teague 4 Brandon Mobley 4 Paw Points Fuquan Edwin is second in the Big East in steals this season with 52. That's 12th in the country. He led the nation in steals last year. His 19 steals lead the conference. He's a dangerous man around the ball.  Cashmere Wright needs 1 steal to tie and 2 steals to pass Darnell Burton for most steals all time in Cincinnati history.  Seton Hall plays about the same pace as Marquette. Look for that type of flow.  The Pirates are near the bottom of the standings for a very good reason. They are bad on offense with 0.95 points per possession. They are HORRENDOUS on defense. They are giving up 1.09 points per possession. That's tied with Notre Dame for the worst in the league. Notre Dame is slightly worse, but Seton Hall is terrible. If Cincinnati can't fix the offensive woes against them, we might be in trouble.  There are going to be a ton of 3 pointers attempted. Cincinnati leads the league with 177 attempts. Seton Hall is 3rd with 160 attempts. Seton Hall leads the conference with 56 made 3 pointers. Cincinnati is second with 54.  Seton Hall only gives up 15 looks from 3 a game. That's because their 2 point defense is terrible.  When Seton Hall does give up a 3 point attempt, opponents are making 36%. That makes one reason that those are open looks.   They also foul a lot. SH's opponent free throw rate is the 4th highest in the league.  That works out very well for Cincinnati since the Bearcats get to the foul line a lot in their wins.  Seton Hall is honoring the 1992-93 Big East championship team. Terry Dehere in the house.  The Pirates are an ok rebounding team. They are middle of the road. Cincinnati is dominant on the defensive glass, getting 70.2% of the defensive rebounds. Cincinnati is also one of the 4 best offensive rebounding teams in the league at 36.4%.  A reason Seton Hall's offense is so bad is because they turn the ball over. A lot. A whole, whole lot. They are turning it over on 26.1% of their possessions during Big East play. 4 trips down the court and 1 is ending with a turnover. That is by far the highest turnover rate in the league.  Seton Hall makes up for that by forcing the least amount of turnovers in the league. When adjusted for pace, they are worst than Notre Dame. Hell, they've only forced 2 more turnovers than Notre Dame. 19 of those are Edwin steals. This is a brutal defense.  The Bearcats are blocking shots on 11.3% of possessions in Big East play. Right now, this team is tied with the Kenyon Bearcats of 2000 in shots blocked per game.  Seton Hall is the worst shot blocking team in the league. They are blocking shots on 3.6% of possessions.  Neither team is big on steals. Cincinnati gets them at a league worst 6.6% clip, SH at a 8.1% rate.  Random Prediction Shaq Thomas scores a basket. Maybe 2. Maybe even 3.  Prediction Cincinnati 73 Seton Hall 58
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