Game Notes: Boston College @ Virginia Tech

Boston College at Virginia Tech Date 2/12/2012 6:00:00 PMLive StatsLinkTV ESPNU Team StatsEmbed This Chart On Your Website
More Stat ComparisonsMore Team StatsEfficiency Predicted Final ScoreVirginia Tech 65 Boston College 53

Matchup Simulation Stats

• This game has been simulated 72 times.
• VT (2012) has won 66 times (91.7% of the time), won by > 20 pts 30 times (41.7% of the time)
• BC (2012) has won 6 times (8.3% of the time), won by > 20 pts 0 times (0.0% of the time)
• The average score is VT (2012): 70.8 - BC (2012): 53.6, decided by < 5 pts 13 times (18.1% of the time)
• The game has gone into overtime 0 times (0.0% of the time)

Simulate This Game Again

I probably owe an apology to boston college. In my preview before the first match-up of these two birds, I said that bc could potentially be the worst team in ACC history. That was based on these facts (these bullets are my exact workings from before):

• 10.7%: bc returned just 263 of their 2,440 points from a year ago. And you thought we got hit hard!
• Of the 263 points returning, two of those guys were walk-ons, and another (Danny Rubin) averages just 7 minutes per game.
• They lost to holy cross, umass (by 36), saint louis, new mexico, penn state, boston u., harvard (by 21), and 5-20 rhode island.
• bc starts 5 freshmen, and believe me, this ain’t the Fab 5. This is El Cinco Stinko. Four of them are 3-star recruits, which isn’t bad but also not great, and the other, Heckmann, is from Germany… and he ain’t Dirk Nowitzki. They have 9 freshmen out of the 15 guys on their roster. Their 3 seniors are all walk-ons and their only junior is a transfer. Much like wake forest a year ago, this experience will help them, but it’s gonna be a blood bath this year.

I theorized they would be worse than wake forest’s team from a year ago, a team that went 1-15 and their average margin of defeat in those 15 games was 20 points. Yep, I was wrong. As I was writing that, the eagles defeated clemson. I still was confident and guaranteed a victory. Then, a few days later, bc took down the Hokies 61-59:

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Boston CollegeNameGPMinsPtsAstsRbdsStlsBlksTOsFG%3P%FT%Off Eff Matt Humphrey 24 29.5 10.3 1.3 3.4 0.9 0.4 2.0 34.7 31.6 59.4 52.3 Ryan Anderson 24 28.3 9.6 1.0 6.8 0.5 0.6 1.3 38.2 25.0 73.9 56.9 Dennis Clifford 24 26.4 9.0 1.0 4.9 0.4 0.9 2.6 54.6 16.7 64.5 58.3 Lonnie Jackson 24 26.4 7.9 1.7 2.5 0.9 0.3 1.7 39.6 41.0 75.0 73.4 Patrick Heckmann 19 23.1 9.1 1.7 2.9 0.5 0.2 3.1 46.8 33.3 74.3 71.8 Jordan Daniels 24 23.4 6.4 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.6 35.0 32.9 73.9 73.5 Gabriel Moton 22 17.1 3.3 1.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.2 41.5 37.9 53.3 73.7 KC Caudill 23 10.4 2.4 0.5 1.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 48.8 0.0 60.9 67.2 John Cahill 20 15.2 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 45.7 44.8 83.3 86.5 Eddie Odio 21 6.4 0.9 0.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 42.1 0.0 33.3 61.5 Danny Rubin 17 7.1 1.2 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 29.2 38.9 0.0 64.4 John Cain Carney 5 2.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 278.3 Peter Rehnquist 4 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ryan Kilcullen 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Salah Abdo 3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Deirunas Visockas 2 6.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 104.4Virginia TechNameGPMinsPtsAstsRbdsStlsBlksTOsFG%3P%FT%Off Eff Erick Green 22 33.8 15.7 2.9 3.5 1.5 0.2 1.7 46.1 36.6 84.0 63.6 Dorenzo Hudson 24 28.9 11.3 1.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 2.1 40.8 30.1 86.0 62.2 Jarell Eddie 24 27.4 9.8 1.4 5.5 0.5 0.5 1.6 44.1 45.6 84.6 65.5 Robert Brown 24 21.7 7.1 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.4 1.5 35.9 31.5 64.7 64.9 Victor Davila 24 22.7 7.4 0.6 4.3 0.4 0.6 1.4 55.6 0.0 64.5 60.1 Dorian Finney-Smith 24 28.4 5.6 1.9 7.0 0.7 0.8 1.9 30.7 33.3 63.5 64.0 Cadarian Raines 24 14.9 4.6 0.4 3.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 50.5 0.0 56.0 55.3 CJ Barksdale 24 11.5 2.8 0.3 2.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 44.0 0.0 77.4 74.5 Marquis Rankin 16 12.9 2.8 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.9 34.7 31.3 54.5 69.9 Tyrone Garland 8 10.8 4.6 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3 50.0 22.2 75.0 81.7 Joey Racer 5 2.8 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 16.7 0.0 0.0 10.9 Will Johnston 3 2.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 0.0 44.7 Joey van Zegeren 3 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Allan Chaney00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0 Erik Sorenson00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0 J.T. Thompson00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0