wow, what a shocker!!
ESPN.com examined which teams were the most overrated and underrated over the last 10 college football seasons by taking a team's preseason ranking in the AP Top 25 poll and compared it to where that team finished the season. Here are the highlights: Most overrated teams in last 10 years: 1. Florida State (-63) 2. Tennessee (-58) 3. Washington (-42) 4. Miami (-35) T5. Ohio State (-34) T5. Nebraska (-34) 7. Florida (-33 1/2) 8. Michigan (-25) 9. Texas (-24) 10. Clemson (-22) Most underrated teams in last 10 years: 1. Washington St. (+51) 2. Boise State (+48) 3. Oregon (+32 1/2) 4. Arkansas (+26) 5. Wisconsin (+23) 6. Louisville (+20) 7. TCU (+18) T8. Boston College (+17) T8. Iowa (+17) T8. Maryland (+17) BCS Conferences: 1. Pac-10 (+60 1/2) 2. Big East (+9) 3. Big 10 (+3) 4. SEC (-12 1/2) 5. Big 12 (-78 1/2) 6. ACC (-102) The formula was simple: We took a team's preseason ranking in the AP Top 25 poll and compared it to where that team finished the season. For example, if State U. was ranked No. 6 in the preseason poll and finished 11th, the team lost five points. Conversely, if State Tech was ranked 13th in the preseason and finished second, it gained 11 points. Any team that started or finished the season unranked was given a ranking of No. 26. For example, if State U. started the season ranked No. 7 and finished unranked, it lost 19 points, and vice versa. Only teams that were ranked in at least three of the 10 preseason polls or final polls from 1997-2006 were included in the list of overrated and underrated teams. All teams included in at least one poll were included in conference standings. The results of the survey are probably surprising to even the most die-hard college football fans: ? The Pac-10 was by far the most underrated conference the last 10 years, thanks to yeoman's work from Washington State, Oregon and Oregon State. The Ducks improved their ranking significantly four straight seasons from 1998-2001, and the Beavers went from unranked to No. 4 at the end of the 2000 season. The Big East and Big Ten also finished on the positive side in aggregate score. ? Big 12 teams were the most overrated during the last 10 years. Only three teams included in the survey -- Iowa State, Kansas State and Texas Tech -- improved their overall ranking. Nebraska, Texas and Texas A&M were the league's most overrated teams. Certainly, the preseason AP poll has proved to be far from prophetic, which is good news for teams ranked outside the top 25 at the beginning of the 2007 season. Since 1997, only 60 percent of the teams ranked in the preseason top 25 were still ranked at the end of the season. And nearly half (49 percent) of the teams in the top 10 fell out by season's end. And here's the real reason for hope for those teams not among the top 25 today: In every season since 1997, at least two teams that started the season unranked finished among the top 10. Mark Schlabach covers college football and men's college basketball for ESPN.com. You can contact him at schlabachma@yahoo.com. I could not agree more. If SEC fan is going to complain, bring some stats other than attendance records
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