September 12, 2013

WEEK TWO: NO SHOCKER HERE.

AGAINST San Diego I expect the EAGLES to win a frustratingly close game by emphasizing the run in the first half this week. 

The Chargers like the Foreskins run a 3-4, but the Bolts DL is much more talented in terms of getting penetration. This can be all too easily exploited by pounding the ball behind the Guards. Personally I'd love to see the game open with a play-action roll-out and short completion to one side (just something to get those 300lb D-linemen running), followed by a toss run to the other side, followed by a run up the gut. The Chargers are big up front. It'd be nice to see that strength relegated to a weakness. After 3 quarters of that from 3 different backs, the Chargers should be easier to push around than kindergartners.

But Birdflipper, if it'll be that easy why will it be a frustrating game?

The Chargers Offense while built on a shaky premise, is a bear to deal with if it gets going. Their weapons are even less dynamic than Washington's, but their QB see can see aspects of match-ups. By that I mean even though his WR's are frequently less talented by the guys covering them, Phillip Rivers can see the ONE ability his WR has to win the match-up on that give down. It's a rare ability, and his new HC has wisely chosen to exploit it by letting Rivers have the freedom to eyeball match-ups and then tweak it more at the line. Last week (despite his bottom feeder receiving corps) he threw 4 TD's against a very good Texans defense (2 were under 10 yards). In this system if Rivers still had Vincent Jackson, he'd have likely thrown 6. 

We WILL allow points. With Bradley Fletchers concussion, Brandon Boykin will have to slide outside, which I guess means that either Brandon Hughes or I guess Jordan Poyer will play Nickel. The rookie or the guy with the broken hand. Remember what I said about the match-ups? We WILL allow points. I expect this game to be close.

My Pick:  35 - 28 EAGLES

17 Comments:
  • Mercifully, LeSean McCoy has hinted that the EAGLES will more frequently rotate RB's. But I wish there were more O-linemen to sub in and out, as it's really those guys that I'm MOST concerned with becoming more fatigued and thus less effective over a 16-game schedule.
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • I think Chip Kelly's plan is to let Billy Davis come up with one. That is terrifying when you consider that right before the Foreskins game Davis said:
    “I am very anxious for the Redskins to show us who we are and where we are,” Davis said. “I don’t know what’s coming. The truth will be at the end of that game we’ll know defensively how far along we are.”
    http://www.phillymag.com/eagles/2013/09/05/billy-davis-not-exactly-brimming-with-confidence/

    It makes me wonder what he was doing during OTA's and Training camp.

    On the other hand, I expect the Offense to operate at a tear for another few weeks at least. When Steve Spurrier made his 2002 appearance in the NFL, he put up 30+ points for 5 straight weeks (4 of which were preseason) before he ran into a brick wall named Andy Reid. http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/schedule/_/name/wsh/year/2002

    It's only a matter of time before the league catches on. At that point we'll get to see what kind of coach/staff/ team we really have here.
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • And THERE is the main Achilles Heel of not just the Offense but the team. Can WE sustain it. Kelly doesn't have 70-100, 20 and 21 year old players on his roster. Instead what he has is 45-53 players, most of whom are 25 and north of it. Keep in mind, our opponents have to keep up with this one or two weeks a year. WE have to keep it up for 16 straight. Toss in practices that are hard enough for players playing on slower teams, and the TURN UP THE TEMPO, on both sides of the ball.

    It won't take long for the league to figure out what he's doing. All he's really done is combined aspects of two different systems (Spread/Run n Shoot), and the Option into his own special blend that he's based on deception. Like a magician or any head coach, you just have to see him perform his tricks enough to get an idea of what his basic toolbox is, at which point you can begin to take away things.

    Guys who've been around the NFL long joke that there are no secrets, and Kelly's system so far seems HIGHLY dependent on secrecy. Next year when he ends up releasing players who take what he's taught them elsewhere (think Vick as Eli's back-up), Kelly will have to learn to "get dressed with everyone else".

    I watched Mike Quick and Ike Reese break down some of Kelly's plays last night and they exposed (I think inadvertently) a tendency to run sprout plays that are dependent on getting defenders out of position. If THEY saw that, BELIEVE, any decent coach will also see it with just a few hours of film study.
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • Hey LOOK! Nate Allen and Patrick Chung just tried to tackle each other!
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • Dear Malcolm Floyd,

    Here is is your a$$.

    Signed,
    DeMeco Ryans
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • He was moving his arms and legs,so it's likely he just has a stinger. Former EAGLES FB Kevin Turner used to get them often (that became a problem later in life). Floyd should be okay with THIS one, but if they start to mount...
  • Now that I'm done with my cursing tirade:

    WOW! I have NEVER seen such poor timeout management by any team, in any sport, at any level In. My. LIFE!
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • My thought is he wanted to get the ball back with more time on the clock. The chargers were sure as hell going to allow the FG to be the last second play like we always see. I don't get how the announcers didn't pick up on that.
  • [not displayed: comment from locked account]
  • I too think that was his thinking, but with the way that SD was running the clock down before snaps, and had reverted to running it JUST to get the clock running again, it seems like everyone BUT Kelly could see what was happening.

    With the way the EAGLES kept stopping the clock, it only gave the Chargers more time to consider their options. WE took all the urgency away and gave them breathing room, and there was NEVER any chance that we would profit from what Kelly was doing.

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