Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 6/19/13

Some guys have started out 2013 like there is no tomorrow. Two pitchers have already won 10 games this year while some unheralded players have burst onto the scene. The baseball season is usually one known for having peaks and valleys, and even though I love seeing some unknown guys tear it up, I can’t help but think it’s not going to last forever. I’m not going to call the following players “the Expendables“, but I do think some might switch to straight-to-DVD movies rather than movies worthy of the theater. Here are some players I feel are due for a regression.Note: All stats end with games finished on Monday, July 17.10. Marco Scutaro, 2B/3B/SS, SFScutaro has been helpful in the average (.332) and runs (33) departments, but outside of that, he’s not much of a power threat. With only 2 HR and 15 RBI, you might have a player that could be useless in the near future. Scoots’ career batting average (.278) is much lower than his current. I smell regression.9. Jeff Locke, SP, PITHere’s how Locke’s numbers look — 6-1, 2.19 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .205 BAA. The Pirates do have one of the best pitching staffs in the MLB, but at least we’ve seen guys like  Francisco Liriano, Wandy Rodriguez, and A.J. Burnett dominate before this season. Locke might go the way of Lost‘s John Locke, i.e., off the air. I’m not saying he’s going to completely suck (SPOILER ALERT: Terry O’Quinn who played Locke recently showed up and died again on Falling Skies) the rest of the season, I just think he won’t be in the top 10 in terms of ERA in any given month.8. James Loney, 1B, TAMLoney led the league in batting for a while, but as expected, he’s returned to Earth (currently hitting .301). He’s also hit 8 HR, which is crazy for him (15 is former career high). He might still hit for average, but he’ll bottom out around .275-.280. He’s enjoyed fantasy relevance for the first time in a few years, but like the Dougie, Harlem Shake, and most other fads, it will be short-lived.7. Josh Donaldson, 3B, OAKThe Athletics are just one of those teams that can turn unknown players into players that baseball fans should know. Currently, Donaldson is one of those players — 10 HR, 43 RBI, and .307 BA. His batting average is going to take a dip, but his power is legit (he hit 9 HR last year in 274 AB) and his RBI total is better this year (43-33) than last year. Like all of us come the heat of July, he’ll cool off.6. Brandon Crawford, SS, SFLike Donaldson, Crawford was useful last year and started off 2013 very well. At the moment, he’s batting .288 with 5 HR. His batting average hasn’t dipped below .280 in June so far, but he only hit .240 last year. I’m not saying that just because he hit that last year he will automatically finish with the same average. I’m just predicting a return to numbers closer to a guy who really is closer to a fringe-starter for fantasy.5. Bartolo Colon, SP, OAKI don’t know what sort of magic elixir that Colon’s drinking but it will be expelled from his system sooner or later. He’s 9-2 with 52:10 K:BB ratio in 14 starts. His ERA is 2.89 and his WHIP is 1.10. The reason I’m not buying Colon is that opposing batters are hitting .262 against Colon and he’s given up 89 hits. Those hits are going to be his downfall, so he’ll have to find some other medical procedure not practiced in the USA to be relevant again.4. Jason Marquis, SP, SDLike Colon, Marquis is an absurd 9-2 but his other stats aren’t that appealing — 53:47 K:BB ratio and 1.39 WHIP. He’s also given up 14 long balls and his ERA is 3.63. When you have that many walks and only 7 more strikeouts, you’re already pitching with house money. I think Marquis might make like the Buffalo Bills of the last decade and fade after a hot start.3. Jhonny Peralta, SS, DETPeralta can thank his lucky stars he gets to hit in a lineup with Prince Fielder and Miguel Cabrera. He’s currently batting .332 with 6 HR. The lineup is one that breeds opportunity with Austin Jackson and Victor Martinez also to contend with. It’s not because he spells his first name ridiculously, but because he’s a career .269 hitter. Don’t forget that he hit just .239 last year.2. Chris Davis, 1B, BALDavis currently leads the MLB with 24 HR while also hitting .337. That’s currently the fourth-best mark in the MLB. It’s great to see his potential come to fruition. Texas must be slapping themselves on the forehead for shipping Davis out of town. The power will still be there, however, but he’s fanned 75 times so far in 255 AB. That works out to a strikeout every 3.4 AB, or at least one per game. You would think that pitchers will stop hanging the ball over the plate for him to crush, so he’s going to be forced to adjust. He’ll still swing for the fences, but his average will take a dip.1. Patrick Corbin, SP, ARI & Max Scherzer, SP, DETI know that both Corbin and Scherzer notched their 10th wins on Monday, but no player had accomplished going 10-0 on a season since Roger Clemens did so for the Blue Jays in 1997. Both guys have been the staff ace for their respective teams, but getting a decision in every single one of your starts just seems to good to be true. With the stable yet shaky situations for both bullpens, I can’t help but think that these guys are going to be getting some hard-luck losses going forward.

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