Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 5/3/13

Here are some predictions, analysis, and lame jokes about some of MLB’s new facesTony Cingrani, SP, CINCingrani is one of my favorite rookies for this season. Now before you go doing backflips down the hallway about this comparison, read everything first. He and Chris Sale have followed a similar career path to date. Both have serious strikeout stuff, with the ability to mow down about a batter an inning.In 2011 both pitchers were relegated to bullpen work, Sale with the White Sox throwing only 71 IP, and Cingrani at Rice throwing only 57 IP plus a few more after being drafted. Both saw their workload increase significantly after being converted to starters last season. Quite frankly, I love Cingrani and think he can put up 80% of what Sale did last season. However, he will probably have a higher WHIP due to his control not being quite where Sale’s was last year.Here are a few things to keep in mind before going to get Cingrani:He pitches in Cincinnati, he might give up some homers as he adjusts.Big jumps in innings pitched lead to injuries. Remember, Sale was shut down for awhile last season due to fatigue and Dusty Baker loves to run his precious young pitchers into the ground.He needs Mike Leake to struggle to keep his spot after Johnny Cueto comes back. Luckily, struggling is right up Leake’s alley, although he has held his own so far this season.If Cingrani sticks, which is not sure thing in itself, I see a floor of what Jeff Samardzija did last season with the upside of a Sale-like rookie year.Jose Fernandez, SP, MIAFernandez is electric, no doubt about it. If he was on the Red Sox and didn’t have a 150-175 inning limit, he’d cruise into my top 40 pitchers. Unfortunately he plays for the Marlins, which is essentially Giancarlo Stanton, 23 lucky fans from the stands (if they ever actually draw 23 fans) and Placido Polanco. Wait, Placido Polanco?!?!? Was Brooks Conrad not available?Fernandez does have plenty of positives. He should give you great ratios with an abundance of strikeouts. He should easily obtain 8.0 K/9 just based on his stuff and lack of film on him.Don’t sleep on that pitchers park he calls home, either. He might walk a few too many batters due to the jump from single-A to MLB, but he has exhibited decent control in the minors.A solid K/9, decent ratios, but probably won’t hit double-digit wins. He’s had a few rough starts in a row, but I’d buy low or pick him up if he’s available.Julio Teheran, SP, ATLI’m not totally sure how to explain that great spring. It’s possible LeBron James rubbed off on him or something, but the old Teheran we’ve all come to hate is back. Homer prone, walking too many batter, and being surprisingly hittable. He used to not give up many hits, but it now seems he has traded his unhittable stuff to focus on his control. I’m sure Jonathan Sanchez can agree with me that this was a terrible move.Every season since 2010, Teheran has seen his strikeout rate decrease, with a career low 6.7 K/9 in 131 IP last season in triple-A. He isn’t worth touching in 10-team mixed leagues and I’m not starting him in NL-only unless it’s a softie matchup like the Marlins. He’s fast approaching Ubaldo Territory, which roughly translates to “Don’t you even THINK about it!”  You feeling lucky?Rapid fire time!Derek Norris, C, OAK — He’s stuck on the wrong end of the platoon with John Jaso. They do like to DH Jaso and keep Norris’ bat in the lineup, but he probably won’t play 110 games even if he stays healthy. Stats-wise, he’s similar to J.P. Arencibia with some good pop, but I don’t see him hitting anything over .240. His contact rate is just too low.Dylan Axelrod, SP, CHW — Axelrod has been around for awhile. He’s 27, pitched in Independent ball, and shows just average stuff. He’ll probably stick around in the rotation until (if) John Danks comes back. He won’t pile up the strikeouts and he’s too hittable to be trusted. His biggest positives are playing time and a cool name, and when your biggest positive is playing time, you don’t have much value.Didi Gregorius, SS, ARI — Don’t grab him unless you’re starving for at-bats at shortstop. He has little-to-no power and doesn’t have as much speed as you’d think (his career high is 20 SB in 163 G).Nick Tepesch, SP, TEX & Justin Grimm, SP, TEX – They’ll eat some innings but both are stopgaps for Martin Perez, Colby Lewis, and Matt Harrison. Fairly mediocre back-end rotation stuff on both these guys, not to mention they pitch in Texas. Spot starts only, but I’d rank Grimm slightly ahead of Tepesch.

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