Found September 04, 2008 on Vegas Watch: Yardbarker Blogger Network

Tampa Bay, 5.85:1 (5Dimes)
Current Record: 84-53
PECOTA Playoff Odds: 99.4%

I stopped paying attention, but apparently Jason Hammel totally fell apart in the ninth against the Yankees tonight, and Maddon had to bring in Dan Wheeler for the one-out "K-Rod save". They won, at least.

Sportsbook's attempts to limit their exposure to certain events on these futures/props are very amusing. After having the Rays at 100:1 as late as May 13, they're now 2:1 there.

The Rays are 17-7 since Longoria got hurt. I guess that means he's not going to win the MVP?

Okay, it's magic number time. The Rays' magic number for making the playoffs is a little tricky, since there are a bunch of teams involved. But, unless some team makes an run, they'll be in if they clinch having a better record than two of these three teams:

The most likely scenario is that Tampa clinches when they host Minnesota, September 18-21.

Boston, 7.5:1 (Bodog)
Current Record: 82-57
PECOTA Playoff Odds: 98.2%

+250 to win the AL, yet +750 to win the WS. You would think the folks running an operation the size of Bodog would at least pay attention. You'd be wrong. Boston is +420/-570 to win it all at Matchbook.

The Red Sox still have, pretty easily, the best run differential in the AL, and the best third-order record in the majors. I suppose you might want to wait and see how Beckett's start goes on Friday, but this line will likely be changed in the near future.

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