Originally posted on Fantasy Baseball 365  |  Last updated 1/8/12
Key Stats: The days where you can look to Ethier as a power bat for your lineup are over... granted there was really only 1 season we could do that but still. Ethier can give us a solid average (.292 the last two seasons). He was top 30 in baseball for OBP last year.

Skeptics Say: If an outfielder might not be able to hit 20 homers he better be able to steal bases, and Ethier won’t be doing that either. Couple that with his strike out percentage going in the wrong direction 4 years in a row and a swinging strike rate that has gone up the last 3. He isn’t getting any younger with 2012 being his age 33 season.


Peer Comparison: 33 year old outfielders didn’t fare too well in baseball last year. There were 4 according to the stats filter on espn.com, and they aren’t  really an inspiring bunch: Juan Rivera, Jason Bay, Ryan Ludwick and Vernon Wells. Ethier’s power is similar to all of them (exception being Wells) but he will give you a better average and OBP than anyone in that group. This isn’t exactly an apples to apples comparison, but outfielders hitting their mid 30’s don’t usually discover a fountain of youth. Notice that (spoiler alert) none of those players are in our Top 162 players count down. A sign of things to come?

Team Outlook: The Dodgers are a mess. New ownership is going to come in at some point, but they are kinda tied up until then. They haven’t added any major pieces, but they haven’t exactly lost any either, with the most notable departure being Kuroda (replaced by either Capuano or Harang.)

What They’re Saying: CBS Sportsline - #28 in the Top 80 Outfielders; Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN.com - #54 in the Top 70 Outfielders & #190 in the Top 250 Players; RotoChamp - #110 in the Top 300 Players

Projection: Personally I’m looking for outfield help elsewhere this season. While I don’t think he is going to do as poorly as he did last season, if an outfielder isn’t going to deliver power or steals he has to bat better than .300, and his career numbers and trends don’t indicate that will happen either. Given the lack of significant moves the Dodgers made on offense, there isn’t promise his RBI or Runs totals will go up considerably from last season. My optimistic projection:

.286 AVG, 15 HR, 70 R, 75 RBI, 1 Steal, .362 OBP, .824 OPS in 590 ABs.
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