Do Red Sox Prefer Holliday Over Bay?

How much do you trust the information of "one rival executive?"  Such a source makes for the basis of the latest blog post from Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports.  This exec told the FOX writers that the Red Sox prefer Matt Holliday over Jason Bay, and do not intend to re-sign Bay despite ongoing negotiations. The writers go on to explain that the Red Sox would stand to gain a draft pick by signing Holliday instead of Bay.  They'd lose their #29 pick to the Cardinals by signing Holliday, but get a pick back from the team that signs Bay and would also receive a supplemental pick.  Furthermore, the writers believe Bay will not be signed by a team with a protected first-round pick (such as the Mets).