Originally posted on Fangraphs  |  Last updated 3/20/12
What do these fellow batsmen have in common? • Adrian Gonzalez • Matt Kemp • Emilio Bonifacio • Michael Bourn • Michael Young Well, probably a lot, seeing as how they all share a profession, but today let us examine a particularly unique distinction: The fact that they collectively represent the top five BABIPs of the 2011 MLB season. Let’s find out how much was luck and how much was repeatable. For this exercise, we will be toying around with FI wOBA (Fielding Independent wOBA) and slash12′s xBABIP. Before we go any further, it is important to clarify that BABIP — batting average on balls in play — is not purely luck. I am just as guilty as most when it comes to wrongly convicting a hitter or pitcher of Luck Crimes when their BABIP strays from .300, but the truth is a lot of factors play into a player’s BABIP — from changing skill levels to improved defensive alignments (see: Carlos Pena) and so on. FI wOBA tries to step in the direction of better divining what is luck and what is skill
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