Originally posted on Fox Sports Detroit  |  Last updated 11/11/12
DETROIT -- Justin Verlander deserves to win his second consecutive American League Cy Young Award. He's unlikely to get it, though, when the results of voting by the Baseball Writers Association of America are announced Wednesday night. Tampa Bays David Price is the favorite, and Jered Weaver of the Angels also could finish ahead of Verlander among those three finalists. Price already got the stamp of approval from his AL peers. They honored him last week with the 2012 Players Choice award for pitchers. Among baseball pundits, one doesn't think Verlander even deserves to be a Cy Young finalist. Harold Reynolds of the MLB Network said he would have picked Tampa Bay closer and ex-Tiger Fernando Rodney over Verlander. So the Tigers ace has his detractors, and Price would be a fine choice for the Cy Young. But lets look at the case for Verlander: He was 17-8 with a 2.64 ERA and a league-leading 239 strikeouts. Verlander, at 7.5, also had the runaway best Wins Above Replacement rating of any pitcher in the league. Rounding out the top five are Price (6.4); Matt Harrison, Rangers (6.2); Chris Sale, White Sox (5.7); and Felix Hernandez, Mariners (4.6). Ratings of 8.0 or above are MVP quality and 5.0-plus is All-Star worthy. This statistic is all the rage with sabermetricians, who have concocted it by pouring oodles of numbers into a formula that takes every player quality under the sun into consideration and spits out a rating that few understand. Angels outfielder Mike Trouts MVP candidacy is being touted largely because of his major league-leading 10.7 WAR rating. Hey, if its being used by some to deny Tigers Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera the MVP, why not use it to win the Cy Young for Verlander? Turnabout, after all, is fair play. I have my own formula, just devised, to make an even better case for Verlander: Pitching Quotient. It gives equal weight to wins, earned-run average, strikeouts, WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) and WAR. Im proposing this rating system because most cant agree on which pitching statistic is most important. Based on recent Cy Young voting, wins aren't supposed to matter. Hernandez won it with a 13-12 record in 2010, when CC Sabathia of the Yankees was 21-7. In 2009, Zack Greinke, then with the Royals, won it with a 16-8 mark, while Hernandez, Sabathia and Verlander each won 19 games. So why should Verlander be penalized for a lack of wins this year -- especially after having eight quality starts for a defensively-porous team end up as losses or no decisions? Earned-run average has become the favorite measuring stick in recent years. Five of the last six major league ERA winners won a Cy in their league. But that happend after four consecutive major league ERA leaders didn't win the Cy. There doesnt seem to be any long-term consensus on just how important any one stat matters -- although Hernandez (2.27) and Greinke (2.16) won almost strictly based on ERA. This year, Price (20-5, 2.56, 209 strikeouts) is the AL leader in ERA, with Verlander a close second. Verlander took the other pitching Triple Crown stat, strikeouts. Weaver (20-5, 2.81, 142 strikeouts) tied for Price for most victories and led the league with a 1.018 WHIP. Based on the statistical split decision, the Cy Young race should be a tossup. Thats where the Pitching Quotient comes into play as an evaluation tool. Heres how it works: Award 5 points to the league leader in each of these categories -- wins, earned-run average, strikeouts, WHIP and WAR -- and scale down from there: 4 points for second, 3 points for third, 2 points for fourth and 1 point for fifth. Then total the points for each pitcher and divide it by five, for the number of categories, to get their average point total. A pitcher finishing first in each statistic would rate a 5.0. Verlander, with 3.9 points on the Pitcher Quotient, is the easy winner. Price is second at 3.1 and Weaver third at 2.5. By choosing to focus only on the accepted Triple Crown pitching stats -- wins, earned run average and strikeouts -- Verlander drops to 3.5 on that limited Pitcher Quotient formula, with Price (3.2) and Weaver (2.5) close behind. Even with all that number crunching, were not giving Verlander any formula credit for leading the league with 238 13 innings pitched and six complete games. In fairness to Price, he had seven quality starts in which he either lost or didnt figure in the decision. Thats just one fewer quality start without a win than Verlander had -- athough Price had a far superior defense playing behind him. If youre not into statistics, simply trust your eyes. FOX Sports analyst Tim McCarver did during the postseason and several times called Verlander the best pitcher on the planet. We'll find out Wednesday if the Baseball Writers Association of America agree.
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Vlade Divac indicates DeMarcus Cousins’ agents killed other deal

Report: Julius Thomas traded to Dolphins

Joe Mixon likely to go undrafted in April?

Belichick officially updates boat’s name to ‘VII Rings’

Canseco warns humanity about robot takeover in Twitter rant

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Rick Ankiel drank vodka before pitching in 2000 NLDS

Kings throw shade at Cousins in press release announcing trade

Report: Jets tampered with Revis through private phones, secret meetings

Calipari shoots down talk of him leaving Kentucky for Pelicans

Report: Carmelo prefers trade to Clippers or Lakers

Report: Kings blowing up roster, putting Darren Collison, Ben McLemore on block

The guard tandems you'd want in a 2-on-2 tournament

We got our hands on the new Nintendo Switch, here are our first impressions

Top 10 second basemen in baseball for 2017

Teams and players who could be dealing at the NBA trade deadline

As NHL trade deadline nears, seven teams who could be dealing

Too much to Process: Can Simmons match the Embiid hype?

There will never be another Dirk Nowitzki

Baseball movies you can stream now to hold you over until Opening Day

Is the NBA All-Star Game worth saving?

Movies you can stream now to get your football fix

The Rewind: Michael Jordan's last All-Star Game

Best of Yardbarker: NBA All-Star Games past, present and future

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

The guard tandems you'd want in a 2-on-2 tournament

We got our hands on the new Nintendo Switch, here are our first impressions

Top 10 second basemen in baseball for 2017

Teams, players who could be dealing at the NBA trade deadline

As NHL trade deadline nears, seven teams who could be dealing

QUIZ: Name every MLB pitcher with 200 or more wins since 1961

Baseball movies you can stream now to hold you over until Opening Day

There will never be another Dirk Nowitzki

Movies you can stream now to get your football fix

Is the NBA All-Star Game worth saving?

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker