Found January 09, 2012 on
The Hardball Times:
PLAYERS:
Jack Morris,
Jeff Bagwell,
Tim Raines,
Larry Walker,
Mark Mcgwire,
Dale Murphy,
Don Mattingly,
Rafael Palmeiro,
Bernie Williams
This year, as is my annual tradition, I predicted how the BBWAA Hall of Fame vote will go. I don't just say in/out, but give actual predicted percentages. Well, the vote is out - how did I do? Let's see.
Below is a chart comparing the actual BBWAA vote totals versus my predictions for the 2012 elections - plus the difference between the two (saying how high/low my predictions were compared to reality).
Name BBWAAMeDif
Barry Larkin8682-4
Jack Morris6865-3
Jeff Bagwell5654-2
Lee Smith5152 1
Tim Raines4952 3
Edgar Martinez3739 2
Alan Trammell3732-5
Larry Walker2327 4
Mark McGwire2024 4
Fred McGriff2424 0
Dale Murphy1519 4
Don Mattingly1818 0
Rafael Palmeiro1315 2
Bernie Williams1012 2
14 guys predicted, and I was within five percentage points with all of them. I was off by an average of 2.6 percentage points. Yeah, I like that.
In all:
Guessed perfectly twice (Don Mattingly, Fred McGriff).
Off by one percentage poi...
Original Story:
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/blo...
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