Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/17/13
No one’s inclusion in the top 200 for 2013 surprises me more than Chris Davis. Entering last season Davis had over 1,000 mostly failed plate appearances at the major league level, and he wasn’t showing any signs of improvement. In 59 games in 2011 Davis struck out his usual 30% of the time, and his 5.2 BB% was a career-worst. Because of Davis’ style of play, he’s useless if he’s not hitting homers, and that year he hit just five in 59 games. It looked like the end of the line. And then something sort of clicked. His strikeout and walk rates remained, well, bad, but he found his power stroke. For whatever reason, Davis has always had a very good BABIP, even during years when he’s struggled, and that counteracts a lot of the damage his high strikeout rate does. Best of all, our xBABIP and xBA formulas confirm that these high BABIPs are legitimate. Davis hits a ton of line drives, keeps fly balls to an acceptable level (while muscling out a large portion of them), and he seems to have a little Giancarlo Stanton in him (i.e. he hits the ball so hard that he’s prone to higher BABIPs because it’s so tough to field). At a Glance Strengths: HR, RBI, SLG Neutral: R, BA, OBP, OPS Weaknesses: SB Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Jason Kubel (ARI) Likely scenario: Dan Uggla (ATL), Pedro Alvarez (PIT), Mark Reynolds (CLE) Worst-case scenario: Chris Johnson (HOU) Chris Davis 2013 Fantasy Projection Davis is a deeply flawed player, but one who has a lot of value because of the power he brings. Even if Davis strikes out 30% of the time, which he probably will, he can still bat near .270. The Orioles have a strong middle of the order, and that means Davis should have a lot of RBI chances batting sixth. His 25.2% HR/FB rate will be hard to maintain for a second straight year, but even a little regression leaves a 25-homer player. Last year Davis worked his strengths to a 94th overall ranking. I’m not keen on drafting him there in 2013, but top 150 sounds good to me.
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Rams WR Stedman Bailey in hospital after being shot in head

Furious Brad Stevens blasts Celtics after lackluster game

Did Bryce Harper deserve the MVP?

Duke 5-star commit posts moving message after successful surgery

Ex-LSU commit still supports Les Miles

Report: Ray Lewis gave Bills pregame pep talk


Report: Marshawn Lynch out a few weeks to recover

Peyton Manning to miss at least two more weeks

Notre Dame DT: Committee 'spit in our faces' with ranking

LaRon Landry suspended indefinitely by NFL

Don’t blame Mike Pettine for benching Johnny Manziel. Blame Johnny.

Danny Ainge: Celtics’ Marcus Smart has shown ‘propensity to get injured’

Nick Young seems to take shot at Kobe Bryant

WATCH: College basketball player makes 3-pointer while wobbly from concussion

The five most overrated teams in the Week 13 coaches' poll

Clemson WR calls South Carolina fans 'rude'

Jonathan Lucroy trade market bolstered by weak catching market

Michigan State lists two starting QBs on depth chart

10 storylines for Week 13 of the college football season

LISTEN: Browns fan cries on radio while ripping Johnny Manziel

Texas A&M QB Kyle Allen says he was injured vs. Alabama

Report: Maple Leafs are no longer the NHL’s most valuable franchise

Ranking the 10 best games of 2015 college football rivalry week

Did a Chipotle employee convince Danny Ainge to trade for Isaiah Thomas?

Bud Black joins Angels organization as special assistant to GM

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

The five most overrated teams in the Week 13 coaches' poll

10 storylines for Week 13 of the college football season

Ranking the 10 best games of 2015 college football rivalry week

Examining the Mavericks' hot start

Johnny Bench(ed): Manziel demoted to third string

Mike Trout, four years in

Tom Brady on ‘Rex Ryan!’ line call: It’s ‘in the playbook’

Five NFL teams trending downward

Not so fast, USC: Eagles Chip Kelly buys Philly-area home

The five best hockey fights from Week 7

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Follow Yardbarker