Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 1/4/13
Wilin Rosario loves to swing the bat…and miss. In his rookie year, he made contact on 70.9% of pitches (79.7% league average) and swung and missed 14.5% of the time (9.1% league average). That didn’t stop him from producing in fantasy as his 28 home runs and .260 ISO both ranked first among catchers. He also contributed 71 RBI, which ranked ninth at the position. Not bad for a guy who was in Double-A in 2011. With three separate seasons of a .200+ ISO, Rosario has always shown the power potential in the minors so it should be no surprise that his biggest strength is power. When it comes to catchers there aren’t that many three-trick ponies, which is why his power can make him a very valuable fantasy commodity on its own. If he can add some plate discipline to the mix he might become a more well-rounded player and help fantasy owners even more. At a Glance Strengths: HR, SLG Neutral: RBI, R, BA, OPS Weaknesses: OBP, BB, K, SB Player Comparisons Best-case scenario: Matt Wieters (BAL) Likely scenario: Jarrod Saltalamacchia (BOS), J.P. Arencibia (TOR), Michael McKenry (PIT) Worst-case scenario: Chris Iannetta (LAA) Wilin Rosario 2013 Fantasy Projection It’s all about the power with Rosario. Last year, 36% of his home runs were classified by ESPN as “just enough,” which means that they barely left the yard. Conversely, this means that 64% of his home runs were not the result of luck.  His 25.5 HR/FB rate is a bit high and unsustainable, but he does get some help from playing at Coors Field. He also ended last year on a hot streak, hitting .309 with 33 R, 12 HR and 31 RBI over the final two months. If he can continue that into 2013 we might have a real bargain on our hands.
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