Reddick / Bailey Trade: Rapid Reaction

This looks like a trade where both players involved may be significantly worse than they’re perceived. Josh Reddick was a useful regular last year, but his overall track record remains terrible, and ZiPS projects him as basically a replacement level RF with an 85 OPS+. Andrew Bailey is a fabulous pitcher when healthy (career 2.07 ERA and 2.74 FIP), but he’s pitched a full season of major league ball only once in three tries. Any projection that incorporates past playing time is going to see Bailey as maybe a 1-1.5 WAR pitcher, not a star. I was a big fan of Reddick’s last year – I loved his glove and arm in right, the huge power potential in his bat, and having a potential star with five seasons of team control remaining. I have to face the fact that Reddick still doesn’t project as a good, or even useful player, and it may be the case that he still isn’t a good or useful player. Considering Reddick purely from a numbers standpoint, he’s not a terribly valuable piece. At t...