We launched a new feature this week where a four-writer panel (myself, Jeff Erickson, Bernie Pleskoff and Michael Rusignola) each provided an overall Top-350 list for the upcoming season (the rankings will go live with an article by Wednesday). From there, we generated composite rankings for a large share of the player pool, while finding outliers with radically varying values within our staff.
In some instances, we were surprisingly consistent with our valuation, but there were plenty of surprises that took place much higher on the list than I expected. A common theme in the disagreement with my rankings seems to be players coming off of career years. While there are many instances where skills growth fuels an increase in production that is ultimately sustained for future seasons, overpaying for a peak year that has already taken place is very damaging.
Let's take a closer look at three early-round outfielders that are at risk for significant regression in 2012.
Matt...
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