Sports Picks for Tues Sept 14th

We continue are torrid MLB run despite the fact we have a losing day, we are now 4-1 L5 MLB plays.
Oakland surprised me here and sometimes when something seems to good… well it is, Gio had been pitching so well.
Here are my Plays.

1. Boston -131 for 3 Units
I love this match-up we get a sharp line because Boston has been struggling lately as has Dice K plus with the Red Sox out of the playoffs they could easily tank whats left as they are playing for nothing.

But Seattle has lost 5 straight games and Dice K has owned them at Safeco
Matsuzaka is 2-0 with a 2.23 ERA in five career starts at Safeco.

Then I look to the Trends
Boston vs Team Under .500 36-18, 67% 507 (Season)
When Daisuke Matsuzaka Starts 13-8, 62% 278
Seattle vs Team .500 or Better 34-60, 36% -2341
Seattle Record as Home Underdog 1-4, 20% -250 (L30 Days)

Plus Seattle are 15-37 in their last 52 games as an underdog. Great line as French is coming off a couple nice outings but the Sox are proven in these situations over time and this is Dice-K’s home away from home.

2. Oakland -105 for 4 Units
The A’s are out of the playoff mix but playing like they belong, Zack Greinke has lost four straight starts plus the A’s have dominated the Royals head-to-head taking six of the seven match-ups Yet we get a very favourable line here as Zack Grienke is is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his career against Oakland.

But looking at the trending Data
Oakland vs Team Under .500 40-23, 63% 1037 (Season)
Oakland vs Team Under .500 9-4, 69% 280 (Last 30 Days)
When Gio Gonzalez Starts 5-0, 100% 414 (Last 30 Days)
When Zack Greinke Starts 10-19, 34% -1171 (Season)

Oakland is not been a good road team but recent form of both team and Gio balance that out Grienke is cold and situationally at a major disadvantage is their some reason he is dramatically over achieveing against the A’s ? I think not it is time this trend went the other way.
Review: At the end of the day we are performing well in MLB last couple of days liked both plays as situational advantages, looking at the Boston data 60% just kept coming up only real ignore was last 30 days as road favorite they were slightly below their regular pace. But with the Oakland play that same stat really started to tip the play back to KC as Oakland is no good on the road, the other factor is probabilities without any math looking at Gio last 30 days he is over over achieving and Zack under I predicted a correction just on the wrong side.