Found July 08, 2008 on Another Cubs Blog:
The Cubs lead over the Cardinals in the actual standings is 3.5 while the Brewers are 4 out. 3rd order winning percentage has the Cubs with quite an advantage over the Brewers (6.2 games) and the Cardinals (6.8 games). So if anyone is wondering why I really don't care that the Brewers got Sabathia, it's partly because of the 4.0 they are out, the 6.2 they are out in the 3rd order winning percentage (probably the best indicator of how a team will play moving forward) and the fact that Sabathia only improves the Brewers by about 2 wins (THT has it at 2.2 wins) ACTUAL STANDINGS 2 weeks ago LAST WEEK THIS WEEK W-L 48-28 49-33 53-36 GB -- -- -- RS 418 443 475 RA 306 349 373 CURRENT ADJUSTED STANDINGS 2 weeks ago LAST WEEK THIS WEEK W1-L1 48.9-27.1 50.1-31.8 54.5-34.5 GB -- -- -- RS 418 443 475 RA 306 349 373 W2-L2 46.8-29.2 49.4-32.6 53.9-35.1 GB -- -- -- EQR 410 441 476 EQRA 331 355 380 W3-L3 44.5-31.5 47-35 51.7-37.3 GB -- -- -- AEQR 384 411 450 AEQRA 319 352 378 POST-SEASON ODDS REPORT W-L GB WC DIVISION PLAYOFFS 2 weeks ago 97.4-64.6 -- 11.2% 82.6% 93.8% LAST WEEK 95-67 -- 16.7% 72.6% 89.3% THIS WEEK 96-66 -- 14.8% 78.5% 93.3% POST-SEASON ODDS REPORT (ELO VERSION) W-L GB WC DIVISION PLAYOFFS 2 weeks ago 98-64 -- 12.1% 80.9% 93.0% LAST WEEK 94-68 -- 20.0% 63.5% 83.5% THIS WEEK 94.7-67.3 -- 18.1% 69.6% 87.7% POST-SEASON ODDS REPORT (PECOTA VERSION) W-L GB WC DIVISION PLAYOFFS 2 weeks ago 99.2-62.8 -- 8.5% 87.7% 96.2% LAST WEEK 96.5-65.5 -- 13.9% 78.9% 92.8% THIS WEEK 97.1-64.9 -- 12.9% 82.2% 95.2%
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