UFC 154 PPV Card Picks

The UFC returns to Canada this Saturday the 17th, at the Bell Centre in Montreal.  One of the greatest pound for pound fighters in the world, Georges St. Pierre makes his long-awaited return to the Octagon after an 18 month layoff from tearing his ACL.  He faces one of the stiffest challenges yet in Carlos Condit, although GSP has not lost in the Octagon in over five years.  However, he also hasn't fought anyone since UFC 129 in April of 2011.  Will he be able to seemlessly return as his former dominant self? Or will he not be able to return at 100%, and possibly lose for the first time in over five years? Condit won the interim title belt in GSP's absence, and it will be on the line with the championship belt this weekend. You'll have to tune in this Saturday, because it's going to be a great card.Please click "Read More" for analysis of the PPV main card fights and betting picks... Before continuing on with the betting picks, make sure to check out the MMA betting at Top Bet (Click here for more information), for all the lines and analysis. You'll want to be informed if you are going to be making some wagers on the fights this weekend! You'll fight some solid lines, and we'll use them for making our betting picks below. Carlos Condit +300 vs GSP -380I think GSP will probably win this fight, because let's face it... he's still one of the best fighters ever. But I just feel like there is a ton of value there with the "Natural Born Killer" at three to one odds, so I'd be comfortable taking a chance on that bet. 1 Unit.Martin Kampmann +125 vs Johny Hendricks -145Kampmann is rightfully the underdog, but I think he's got at least a puncher's chance here against Hendricks.  He just has to stay on his feet and can hopefully end the fight before it comes down to a 3 round decision. Because if that happens, Hendricks will probably win it. 0.5 Units.Tom Lawlor +220 vs Francis Carmont -270Lawlor is a lively fighter and probably won't go down easy, but I think you definitely need to take Carmont here. I feel really good about Carmont winning this one, and would put 2 Units on it.Nick Ring +210 vs Constantinos Philippou -250I am surprised that the odds for Philippou are as low as they are. I think he is the clear-cut favorite here, and should have little trouble getting an early stoppage against Nick Ring. This is my favorite bet of the main card, and I am going with 3 Units.Pablo Garza +260 vs Mark Hominick -320Like Philippou, Hominick should have little trouble defeating Garza. Although, I would not be surprised if it's a "boring" 3 round decision.  Hopefully Mark can finish Pablo Garza early with authority, but I wouldn't bet on that. He's clearly the favorite here as well, and because of the high line for Hominick, I am only putting 0.5 Unit on this one. Might be a good fight to add to a parlay though.  Perhaps something like GSP + Philippou + Hominick? That could be a decent bet if one is so inclined.