Found August 15, 2013 on The Sports Post:
Regression! Regression! I’m sorry, I’m getting ahead of myself. Let me explain. I hated the 2012 Colts. Not because of Andrew Luck (sorely overrated, but we’ll get to that), Chuck Pagano (great story, but a liability in Week 17 and in the playoffs) or their horribly ill-conceived 3-4 defense considering their roster full of Cover-2 players. No, what bothered me about the Colts was that they were so ridiculously lucky. I’m not trying to ruin anyone’s fun here; this is statistical fact. Get ready, you’re about to get hit by a tidal wave of numbers. Ever heard of the concept of Pythagorean wins? The idea is based on the idea that a 40-point win should count for more than a one-point win. It measures how well a team is actually playing using their point differential. The Colts won 11 real games last year, but they only had 7.2 Pythagorean wins. That’s a ridiculous difference, one we almost never see.  The Colts played at the level of a seven-win team and managed to win 11 games. If y...
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