Fantasy Players to Avoid in 2007

How about Michael Vick...I don't think he's going to get much action

What about Curtis Martin and Tiki Barber?
I think people realize that...

John,
I think your analysis is off a bit,
Perhaps you should look at what other 3-4 WRs are projected at, I haven't picked Bruce in any leagues but he's not a bad #4 WR, he's not being terribly overvalued, 1000yds and 3 tds is good for a number4 WR
also with Edgerrin, his 2004-2005 yrs with the colts were both very good years (2004 was a career year in ypc) and both were solid td years, also if you look at the splits for 2006, his first year with the cardinals, his ypc was dragged down severly by his first few games. his ypc was still bad, but you've got plenty of external factors - QB transition, Leinart learning to play, poor offensive line play, offensive line injuries. while they're losing an o-lineman already this season, don't you think a former steelers o-coordinator might help sure up that line? his numbers were 1376 yards (combined) and 6 tds, even if he doesn't improve on those numbers, he's being undervalued as a 3rd round pick, i'd rather have him then several other question marks ahead of him.

Well, I don't know how many leagues you're in where they play 4 WR's in a starting roster, but the point here is why pick up a WR whose numbers have been on a downward trend? Don't get me wrong, I love Bruce and his work ethic. However, with a bench player, I'd rather take a chance on a player with huge upside - i.e. Braylon Edwards or Mark Clayton.

As for Edge, I made a point to write: "I'm not saying that James is totally washed up, but he must be careful since he may be headed in that direction." Yes, Leinart's experience will help. And yes, a revamped o-line with a solid coordinator will too. Yet, Edge has something to prove this year - whether or not he can truly be that dominant back that we all think he is capable of being.

Thanks for the response
John,
You're correct, you don't have leagues where you have 4 starting WRs, but you always have a bench and in most leagues you will have between 4-6 WRs in total. As for Isaac Bruce, I have his ADP (average draft position) as roughly 40th for Wide Receivers, whereas Braylon Edwards (26) and Mark Clayton (30) are a few tiers above. I agree that he isn't someone we should weight similarly to them, while he's optimistic, we should be comparing him to: his new teammate - Drew Bennett (stl), Muhsin Muhammed (chi), and the likes of Brandon Marshall (den), Brandon Jones (ten), and Jerry Porter (oak). I agree, that if you have him up in the WR3 conversation then your valuation is incorrect, but he provides some good fill in potential at WR4-5 over lower guys with potential such as Brandon Marshall and Brandon Jones. Too often are low risk, low reward (upside) guys totally passed on for risk, but having a more solid 8pts a week guy in Bruce could be more beneficial in a bye week fill in, than Brandon Marshall who we don't know what his numbers will be. So, after a little bit more review, yes, he should be avoided until much later in the draft.
Edgerrin has taken a pounding in terms of draft position this year, he has been that round1 pick 4-8 for the past 6 or so years, right now he's heading in the early third round, and roughly the 17th overall running back. his value has been moving up in the recent weeks, i saw him around the 25th RB about a month ago. He's a lot less of a question mark than the 15-20 guys surrounding him. Would you prefer edgerrin james to Brandon Jacobs, Ronnie Brown, Cedric Benson, Deuce McAllister, Marshawn Lynch, Clinton Portis or the other guys in the 15-20 range? I'd sleep better with Edge as my RB2 than wondering if Jacobs (or Benson) can hold up to a lot of carries, whether Ronnie Brown gets a lot of touches (Chatman is quietly getting some attention down in miami), a rookie in Lynch or Playing time questions in McAllister or Portis.
I like most of your list though, all players with significant questions.
I personally think that M Jones-Drew is overweighted, with Taylor around and Greg Jones back from injury (was the projected starter last year before breaking his leg) , I doubt he get as many opportunities, still a good player and the future of the franchise, little crowded backfield.
Randy Moss - does NE ever have 1000 yard recievers? with injury risks, he should not be treated like Minnesota Randy Moss.
Donald Driver - with injuries and Greg Jennins and James Jones... Will he be the #1?
Calvin Johnson - unless you believe he's the second coming of Randy Moss, will he make that immediate impact in the NFL? I wouldn't overestimate him.