Originally written on BlackSportsOnline  |  Last updated 10/28/13
  So exactly how big was the Cowboys late game collapse against the Lions on Sunday afternoon? Here’s the numbers… The Cowboys quite literally had a 99% chance of winning the game late in the 4th after Stafford turned the ball over on downs with 1:33 left on the clock. Deadspin reported the following mathematical conundrum: After Stafford threw incomplete on 4th and 12 with 1:33 left in the fourth quarter on his own 34-yard-line, the Advanced NFL Stats Win Probability machine had the Cowboys with a 99 percent probability of winning the game. (Win Probability is calculated using a variety of factors, including score, time remaining, down and distance, and field position.) It was down to 85 by the time the Cowboys had to settle for a field goal after taking just 26 seconds off the clock, but back to 93 percent following Stafford’s spike after hitting Calvin Johnson for a moderate gain. Then, off the cliff it went. One hates to add insult to injury for Cowboys nation, but it seems even...
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