Originally posted on Patriots Extra  |  Last updated 11/30/12
QB Tom Brady The Dolphins have been awful against the pass this year, and white-hot Brady has torched this team for 8 TDs and just one pick in his last three trips to Miami. Look for him to put up around 300+ yards and 2-3 scores this time around. WRs Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd, Julian Edelman The Dolphins’ respectable run defense means that the Pats will probably be forced to the air early and often. Welker should be the biggest beneficiary, so you can pencil him in for 100 yards. Lloyd should also be a solid bet for 60+ and a score. Edelman hasn’t quite cleared all of the hurdles needed to return after his concussion and is likely to be a game-time decision. If he can go, he should be a decent play in the flex spot. RBs Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen, Danny Woodhead Miami’s run defense is stout, but New England’s no-huddle attack could still create a few running lanes. This could be one of the team’s poorest rushing matchups, but I still think Ridley should exceed 70 yards and a score. Since the Pats could favor quick passes and draw plays out of the shotgun, Vereen and Woodhead are both perfectly usable in the flex slot and could combine for close to 100 total yards and a score. TE Aaron Hernandez With Gronk still recovering from injury, Hernandez should see plenty of playing time. I’d expect nothing less than 60 yards, and a possible score. I don't think any other NE tight end is worth starting this week. New England Defense/Special Teams This unit has accounted for five touchdowns the past two weeks, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see them add a few more big plays against a Dolphins team that is starting a rookie quarterback. I think 2-3 sacks and at least 1-2 turnovers and 13-17 points allowed is a reasonable projection.
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