Originally posted on AFC East Daily  |  Last updated 11/18/12
Despite the obvious potential of Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck before the season, not many people expected his team to own the same record (6-3) as the Patriots when it traveled to Foxborough Week 11. But that's where we're at. While the Colts are chasing the Houston Texans in the division and will likely have to earn a Wildcard, the Patriots have all but locked up the AFC East. Now, it's just a matter of how high of a seed they can get. DECIDING FACTORS: Third down. The Patriots boast the NFL's best third down offense, moving the chains on 50 percent of third downs. Conversely, they have the second-worst third down defense. Meanwhile, the Colts are no slouches offensively on third down, moving the chains 44 percent of the time, and their 37-percent third-down defense isn't awful. This will be key.Luck, or skill? New England has been winning this season despite owning one of the league's worst defenses, namely against the pass. However, the Patriots have come up with ti...
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