Originally posted on The Jaggernaut  |  Last updated 9/20/12

Most of us still expect the Jaguars to top the Colts, despite last weekend's Texans game. That's all fine and dandy, but let's consider for a moment what will happen if the Colts beat the Jaguars Sunday afternoon. **it hits the fan; that's what happens.

The Jaguars have a superior defense to the Colts. The Colts are currently in the middle of a switch from a 4-3 defensive scheme to a 3-4 scheme.

On the other side of the ball, Andrew Luck is a work in progress for the Colts, as is Blaine Gabbert for the Jaguars. The difference is that the Jaguars have better support characters around their quarterback.

If the Jaguars are 0-3 at the end of the day on Sunday, the calls for Gene Smith's head will begin in earnest. Blaine Gabbert will be a secondary target, as this is just his 3rd regular season game under Mike Mularkey, and speaking of Mularkey, he'll be immune as this is his first year on the job. In short, it all lands on Gene Smith's shoulders.

This weekend is the first of many near-must-win games for the Jaguars. They need to have a strong showing against the Colts. My gut feeling is that the Jaguars will be just fine, but we still need to consider what will happen if the Colts prevail.

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