Originally posted on Awful Announcing  |  Last updated 4/26/13
With this year by all accounts being one of the most muddled, unpredictable NFL Drafts, what better time than this to examine just how much of an expert the alleged NFL Draft experts truly are.  In this day and age, nearly every NFL fan with access to a keyboard and the internet attempts to project the 31st pick in the NFL Draft with the accuracy of Joe Bauserman.  (What you thought I would make a Tebow joke, there?) Mock drafts are a dime a dozen and taking them with a grain of salt may be giving too much credence to these prognostications.  While guys like Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, and Mike Mayock have made a career out of studying the drafts, you might be surprised with just how much of an inexact science proves to be.  Between trades shaking up the 1st Round order, smokescreens, and players rising or falling, projections from respected national writers and draft experts fall well below the Mendoza line. Wednesday night I compiled 12 mock drafts from around the internet from ESPN, NFL Network, NFL.com, Yahoo, CBS, Bleacher Report, and more.  These results were the most recent mock draft published at that time and excluded any draft day changes a mocker could make in the hours leading up to the event. You can find all the results from our Mocking the Mocks Database at this link with the final scoreboard and additional notes below.   Mike Mayock, NFL Network: 27/32 players selected, 8 slotted correctly. Todd McShay, ESPN: 27/32 players selected, 4 slotted correctly. Mel Kiper, ESPN: 26/32 players selected, 6 slotted correctly. Bob McGinn, Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel: 26/32 players selected, 6 slotted correctly. Walter Football: 26/32 players selected, 3 slotted correctly. Peter Schrager, Fox Sports: 26/32 players selected, 1 slotted correctly. Mike Florio, PFT: 25/32 players selected, 6 slotted correctly. Doug Farrar, Yahoo: 25/32 players selected, 1 slotted correctly. Gil Brandt, NFL.com: 24/32 players selected, 1 slotted correctly. Peter King, NFL.com: 24/32 players selected, 1 slotted correctly. Matt Miller, Bleacher Report: 24/32 players selected, 1 slotted correctly. Pete Prisco, CBS: 23/32 players selected, 2 slotted correctly. Congrats to Mike Mayock on correctly mocking just 25% of the NFL Draft's 1st Round and being far and away the most skilled mocker.  Incredibly, multiple NFL writers at major national outlets could only muster one, yes, one pick slotted correctly at the right pick.  One.  Uno.  Peter King and Gil Brandt's lone correct pick was Jarvis Jones going to the Steelers at #17, which was actually the pick nailed most often with 7 of 12 correctly projecting.  Other notes... -If you followed the mock drafts, Sharrif Floyd's drop to Pick #23 would have been a shock. 10 of our 12 mockers had Floyd in the Top 3.  Only Pete Prisco had Floyd slipping out of the Top 10. -Prisco, Florio, and Schrager were the only 3 to have Manti Te'o falling out of the 1st Round. -Just 4 out of the 12 had Eric Fisher going #1 overall to Kansas City on the eve of the draft (Mayock, McGinn, Florio, Farrar).  The other 8 had Luke Joeckel going first. -Only Mel Kiper Jr. had neither Geno Smith or Ryan Nassib going in Round 1.  Smith was mocked as high as #2 overall (Matt Miller) and Nassib as high as #8 overall (McShay, Walter, McGinn, Florio).  Nobody had E.J. Manuel in their 1st Round mocks. -In terms of the "best picks" Mel Kiper was the only one to correctly project D.J. Fluker to San Diego and Datone Jones to Green Bay.  Only Mike Mayock had Jonathan Cooper to the Cardinals and Bob McGinn was the only pundit to predict D.J. Hayden to the Jets. -If you're really paying attention to mock drafts and using them as a guide for what will happen in Round 1, stop midway through.  After Jarvis Jones to Pittsburgh, there were a total of 5 correctly slotted picks out of 180 possible or just 2.77%. Perhaps it should be clear now more than ever that mock drafts should be consumed for entertainment purposes only and not for any kind of consistent projection tool.  Let's leave that to Joe Lunardi.

This article first appeared on Awful Announcing and was syndicated with permission.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Report: Chris Paul ‘despises’ Doc Rivers, had issues with treatment of son Austin

Report: Jimmy Butler recruiting Kyle Lowry to the Timberwolves

WATCH: Tim Tebow didn't waste any time homering after promotion

Nolan Arenado throws out runner from seated position

NFL fans in Florida seem to like Tom Brady more than any of their three teams’ players

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Mayweather-McGregor fight is reportedly seeking a $10 million title sponsor

Terry Francona wearing heart monitor in case of another 'episode'

Albert Almora denies flipping off President Donald Trump during White House visit

Blazers post hilarious tweets after acquiring cash from Rockets

Chip Kelly defends Kaepernick: He was not a distraction

Steve Smith faces suspension should he unretire

The 'You get a steal! You get a steal! Everybody gets a steal!' quiz

Rewriting the Hall of Fame rubric for today's pitchers

Top NBA free agents available

Box Score 6/28: New York loses its zen

Although you have seen this start before, this season is no sequel for the Dodgers

The 'Power hitters are coming for that number one spot' quiz

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

BIG3 Referee Hotline Bling: Ricky Davis takes unnecessary shots at Al Harrington

Who won Wimbledon the year you were born?

Box Score 6/27: Monday is for all sorts of ballers

Big3 brings summer festival feel to basketball with barnstorming tour

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

The 'You get a steal! You get a steal! Everybody gets a steal!' quiz

Rewriting the Hall of Fame rubric for today's pitchers

2017 is not another disappointing sequel for the Dodgers

BIG3 Referee Hotline Bling: Ricky Davis takes unnecessary shots at Al Harrington

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

The 'Power hitters are coming for that number one spot' quiz

Big3 brings summer festival feel to basketball with barnstorming tour

The 'Tonight, we settle the Beard vs. Brodie debate' quiz

2016-17 NBA Awards: The 8th Man Award for most overlooked player this year

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker