Originally written on Cippin on Sports  |  Last updated 11/19/14

NEW ORLEANS - NOVEMBER 30: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots warms ups against the New Orleans Saints at Louisana Superdome on November 30, 2009 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
The Baltimore Ravens are your Super Bowl champions! I know, it’s a little late but I had to write last week in “tribute” to Ray Lewis. But with the Ravens holding the rights to call themselves Super Bowl champions until next February, the debate now begins. Who is the favorite to win in next year? The opening odds to win the 2014 Super Bowl have the Patriots at 6-1, Niners at 7-1, Broncos 8-1, Packers and Texans 10-1, Seahawks 12-1, Steelers and Ravens 14-1. Once again the Patriots are the opening favorites; last season they opened at 6-1 along with the Packers and Niners. Two seasons ago, they opened at 7-1 along with the Packers. Three seasons ago, both the Patriots and Packers opened at 4-1. So, you get the point. Oddsmakers love the Patriots every single year. But why wouldn’t they? How could you bet against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick? In his career, Tom Brady has won over 77 percent of the regular season games he’s played. Every year, no matter who he’s throwing to, he has been excellent. The Patriots are the opening favorites, yet again; and yet again, I’m not buying it. In fact, I believe that Tom Brady will not win another Super Bowl with the Patriots. Here’s why: Tom Brady is 35 years old, and will be 36 by the time the season begins in September. Not to say that 36 is too old to win, all I’m saying is that he’s getting up there and his clock is ticking. He hasn’t won since 2005. Once again, that doesn’t defy the rest of his career. After all, Ray Lewis won in 2001 and then again 12 years later. However, the Patriots no longer have that winning swagger that they carried throughout the 2000s. Lack of competitive edge. Tom Brady is one of the most competitive players to ever step on the field, but he can’t do it by himself. The New England Patriots are missing players with an edge similar to Brady’s. (Tedy Bruschi, Rodney Harrison, Richard Seymour, Mike Vrabel, Deion Branch, etc.) The expansion of talent in the rest of league. There are more teams in the league now that have what it takes to win a Super Bowl. The AFC in particular has improved; Brady used to only fear Peyton and the Colts in the AFC. Now he has to worry about Flacco (Ravens), Roethlisberger (Steelers), Texans (Schaub), Manning (Broncos), Luck (Colts), and even Dalton (Bengals). And that’s just the AFC. Tom Brady won his first 10 playoff games, but he’s just 7-7 since then. Tom Brady didn’t get any worse, the team around him did. Similar thing happened to Troy Aikman; he went 7-1 in his first eight playoff games and then 4-4 after that. The Cowboys team around him changed, Troy didn’t.  Teams don’t fear New England like they used to. Baltimore went into New England in January this year and beat the Patriots by 15 points. They almost did the same last January. That would have been unthinkable about ten years ago. Not anymore. Their defense isn’t feared by anyone. This year they ranked 25th in the league in total defense. Last year, they ranked 31st. Two years ago, 25th. You get the point; there defense is not good anymore, in fact, it is pretty bad. In comparison, the Patriots had the 7th best defense when they won in 2004. In 2005, they were ranked 9th and won another Super Bowl. That’s a HUGE difference, Tom Brady can’t play defense!! So, is there anything the Patriots can do to help Brady get another ring? Well, here’s the situation. They need help; they cannot win with this roster. But can they get help? Currently, Tom Brady, Logan Mankins, and Vince Wilfork make up roughly 35 percent of the Patriots salary cap for 2013. That’s no waste of money because those are three players vital to the Patriots’ success. However, they don’t have the money they need to spend. They want to keep Wes Welker and they want to add another receiver. I don’t see them holding onto Brandon Lloyd; he didn’t prove to be the deep threat they were looking for. But even if they keep Welker, add another receiver, and have the tight end duo of Hernandez and Gronkowski, they still don’t have defense. And they’re not going to be able to draft much either. The Patriots, known for piling up draft picks, only have four picks in the upcoming draft in April. They traded away their fourth, fifth, and sixth round picks for Aqib Talib, Albert Haynesworth, and Chad Johnson, respectively. And only Talib really brought much value to the Patriots. Regardless of all this, the Patriots somehow opened with the best odds of winning the 2014 Super Bowl. It’ll be interesting to see their odds come September when the preseason odds come out, after free agency and the draft have been played out. I would expect the odds to still be good, but not quite as good. Regardless, Tom Brady will not win another Super Bowl with the New England Patriots. I’ll say it again. Tom Brady will not win another Super Bowl with the New England Patriots. Thanks for reading, and stay tuned for next week when I’ll give my early predictions for the 2013-14 NFL Season!
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Marshall: Bears need to gel and do some kumbaya

Ray McDonald investigated for possible sexual assault

Red Sox appear content with rotation despite lack of true ace

Iguodala gets technical for mocking Conley travel

Bo Pelini takes shot at Nebraska during introductory presser

Belichick: Patriots need to play better against the Jets

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Rex Ryan doesn't want to get in trouble talking about Revis

Bears Conte willing to shorten lifespan for NFL career

Former NFLer Simeon Rice: I was sexually abused as a child

Jets owner favorites tweet about firing John Idzik

Mike Ditka turned Bears game off in first half

Report: Padres, Rays talking Wil Myers trade

Molding the market: All eyes on Max Scherzer

Another "Fire John Idzik' plane flies at Jets practice

Four can't-miss match-ups in NFL's Week 16

Report: Some Browns shunned Manziel during pregame

Making an attempt to understand Celtics' priorities

Gronk makes awkward sausage joke on 'Top Chef'

Walmart ripped for confusing Anthony/Lin doll

RG3 taking sabbatical from social media for rest of season

David Robinson's son to walk-on at Duke next year

The Most Valuable Player of each NFL division

5 NFL players who must step up in Week 16

Top storyline for each NFL Week 16 game

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.

Four can't-miss match-ups in NFL's Week 16

RG3 quits social media for season

Each NFL division’s MVP

5 NFLers who must step up in Week 16

Most impressive college hoops teams

Five reasons why FSU is going to win the CFB Playoff

Boxer admits to dive in Rourke bout

FCC heard about Brady's swearing?

Embracing the hate of the Eagles-Cowboys Rivalry

DeSean Jackson mocks Eagles

Andrew Hawkins defends shirt

NFC South rising; keep playoffs as-is

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.