Originally posted on Crystal Ball Run  |  Last updated 11/7/11

 

We will once again go through the motions of making the selections as if the season ended today, using the BCS rankings as a tiebreaker to determine conference champions. The highest-ranked team in each conference will be selected as the conference champion.

Step 1: BCS Championship Game

The first thing that happens is that Nos. 1 and 2 in the BCS rankings are selected to play in the BCS Championship Game.  LSU and Oklahoma State both had big wins on Saturday to cement (for now) their spots at the top of the BCS standings.

  • LSU to the BCS Championship Game.
  • Oklahoma State to the BCS Championship Game.

 

Step 2: Conference Champions

Next, all of the conference champions are assigned to the bowls with automatic tie-ins.

The Big-10 conference race became more muddy over the weekend with a Michigan loss at Iowa and a Nebraska loss to Northwestern.   Currently, Penn State sits alone atop the Leaders division while Michigan State is atop the Legends division.   But both schools, especially Penn State, have difficult roads ahead.  Since Penn State has the best conference record at 5-0, they'll get the nod this week in our projections.

Clemson had the week off and remained steady atop the ACC Atlantic Division.  They still have the top conference record at 5-1.

In the Pac-12, Oregon's visit to Stanford on November 12th looks like it will determine the North Division.  UCLA's win over Arizona State shook up the South division.  Both teams are tied with 4-2 conference records but UCLA now holds the tie-breaker.  The Bruins still have a tough trip to USC at the end of the year.   If Arizona State can take care of business, they still stand a good chance of playing for the PAC-12 title.   As the highest ranked team in the BCS, Stanford gets the nod over Oregon for this week's projection over.

As of now, Cincinnati would receive the Big East's bid to the BCS. They have a two-game lead over everyone else in the conference.

  • Stanford to the Rose Bowl.
  • Penn State to the Rose Bowl.
  • Clemson to the Orange Bowl.

 

Step 3: Replacement Picks

The two bowl games that lost their automatic tie-ins to the BCS Championship Game get to select a "replacement pick" prior to any other selections being made. The bowl that lost the No. 1 team gets to choose first. Right now, that would be the Sugar Bowl, and selecting Alabama is an easy choice.

The Fiesta Bowl would choose next. The easy choice seems to be Oklahoma as a Big 12 representative that is ranked sixth in the BCS standings.

  • Alabama to the Sugar Bowl.
  • Oklahoma to the Fiesta Bowl.

 

Step 4: Final Selections

Next, the bowls select teams in a pre-determined order that rotates annually. This year, the bowls will select as follows: Fiesta, Sugar, Orange.

The Fiesta is up first and must choose an opponent for Oklahoma. I see the Fiesta selecting the Oregon Ducks, currently ranked seventh in the BCS standings.

Next, the Sugar Bowl must choose an opponent for Alabama. Its decision will be an interesting one.

Currently, Boise State is ranked fifth. If Boise State were to finish fourth or higher in the BCS standings, the Broncos would be assured a spot in a BCS bowl game. But as things stand now, the Sugar Bowl could select another team in their place.

A second B1G team, especially with big fan bases and big television draws such as Nebraska or Michigan, could potentially get the nod instead of Boise.  But it's tough to see a second team ranked high enough to warrant such consideration.

But, for now, we'll assume the Sugar would select Boise State to face Alabama.

That will then send Cincinnati to the Orange Bowl to face Clemson.

  • Oregon to the Fiesta Bowl.
  • Boise State to the Sugar Bowl.
  • Cincinnati to the Orange Bowl.

 

CBR Official BCS Bowl Game Projections

*BCS Championship Game: LSU Tigers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

*Rose Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Stanford Cardinal

*Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Boise State Broncos

*Orange Bowl: Clemson Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

*Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oregon Ducks

 

Kris Brauner updates the BCS standings and gives his projections every Monday morning at Crystal Ball Run. Please follow him on Twitter @SNSlant.

[Follow]

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

WATCH: K-State players storm student section after big win

Tony Dungy coaches his way into Canton

Top eight takeaways from NFL Honors awards

Report: Austin Rivers out 4-6 weeks with broken hand

Brett Favre Hall of Fame discussion took less than 10 seconds

WATCH: Pop wishes Kobe well in heartfelt message

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Eric Berry named NFL Comeback Player of the Year

Cam Newton to be named NFL MVP

Ezekiel Elliott hung out with Jim Brown

Rickie Fowler taunted by fans over his ex-girlfriend

Roger Goodell speaks about future of Pro Bowl in annual address

Mike Krzyzewski provides an update on his health

Another star confirmed for Super Bowl 50 halftime show

WATCH: Wayne Simmonds loses his cool, earns match penalty

Winners and losers from 2016 Hall of Fame vote

Brett Favre, Tony Dungy headline Hall of Fame Class of 2016

Terrell Owens says he was not elected to Hall of Fame

Bruins prospect hit in throat with puck, taken to hospital

WATCH: Mavs rookie laughed at for trash talking Spurs bench

Norris Cole has No. 30 retired with LeBron James, New Orleans Pelicans in attendance

Three keys to victory for the Broncos in Super Bowl 50

Torrey Smith: ‘This is probably the best offense’ for Kaepernick

Byron Scott thought D’Angelo Russell would be further along

Under-the-radar Super Bowl 50 matchups

Is Tim Lincecum's run with the San Francisco Giants done?

NHL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

The 14 biggest plays in Super Bowl history

Five outrageous predictions for Super Bowl 50

QUIZ: Name the winning starting quarterback from every Super Bowl

The top six matchups that could decide Super Bowl 50

Seven unheralded players set to make major impacts in SB 50

10 underrated performances in the NBA Slam Dunk Contest

X-factors in Super Bowl 50

NHL nightmare: No Canadian teams in playoff hunt

QUIZ: Name the Super Bowl halftime performers since 1991

Manziel's father fears for QB's life

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker