Found January 30, 2013 on Blue Seat Blogs:
Hagelin won’t be goal-less for long. With the Rangers offense appearing to finally be coming to form, the attention shifts focus to the goal count for the newcomers and those with high expectations. Many expect the offense to come primarily from Rick Nash, Marian Gaborik, Brad Richards, Ryan Callahan, and Derek Stepan. But to the surprise of many, Taylor Pyatt (three goals) has thrown his name into the mix, and Carl Hagelin has been MIA on the score sheet. Pyatt has been the second best offseason acquisition thus far. His three goals are a product of his hard work and his ability to be in the right place at the right time. Pyatt’s three goals have come off seven shots, good for a 42.9% conversion rate. Obviously that won’t continue, especially when you look at his career 11% conversion rate. A regression to the mean is bound to happen, and while seven shots is a small sample size, those expecting Pyatt to continue scoring at this pace will be in for a rude awakening. Pyatt –generally speaking– is a 15 goal guy. When you prorate that for 48 games, that’s around eight goals. Pyatt is already halfway there with more than 40 games left in the year. His career averages suggest two things: 1) his shooting percentage will come crashing back down, and 2) as a result, his goal total will stop climbing so quickly. That doesn’t mean Pyatt will be horrible going forward, it just means he’s not going to continue scoring at a three-goal-in-five-game pace. As for Hagelin, he has 15 shots (as of the writing of this post) and zero goals. Last season, Hagelin shot at around a 10% conversion rate, and had 14 goals in his rookie season. It’s impossible to project what Hagelin’s career averages are after one season, but 10% is around league average, so let’s go with 11% considering he will be getting time with Nash, Gaborik, and/or Richards at times. At an 11% rate, Hagelin should already have a goal this season, maybe two. He’s already behind his pace from last year, but it’s still early in the season. Of course Hagelin won’t be held scoreless all season, but if he continues to get quality minutes, his scoring will eventually get back to that 10%-11% conversion rate. Considering he’s already behind that pace, expect Hagelin to progress back to his mean, which means a few more goals in a shorter amount of time. Hagelin had a strong game last night, which can only lead to good things. Tweet
THE BACKYARD
BEST OF MAXIM
RELATED ARTICLES

Is it time for the Rangers to draft a goaltender?

The Rangers are blessed with the King but shouldn’t assume he’s around forever. The Rangers are in an enviable situation with Henrik Lundqvist manning their net at an age where he can continue playing at a high level for a long time behind what should be a contender for several seasons. The immediate future in net is bright, but those who think the club should sit back and...

Callahan May Not Be Out of the Woods

After hearing the news that Ryan Callahan will only miss 10 - 14 days with a shoulder subluxation, Rangers Nation exploded into obvious rejoice. However, there was one person who sent out a word of caution... Quick warning ... though it's probably uncommon, another NYR captain, Barry Beck, had his career wrecked by recurring shoulder subluxations — Rangers Report...

Ryan Callahan Suffers Apparent Arm Injury, No Word on How Much Time He’ll Miss (Video)

The Rangers could be looking at some time without one of their best players. Captain Ryan Callahan suffered what appeared to be a pretty painful left arm injury Tuesday night in the third period of New York’s 2-1 win over the Philadelphia Flyers. Callahan took exception to a little extracurricular activity from Philly’s Max Talbot around the Rangers net, and the two ended up...

Video- Ryan Callahan Injury

The Rangers have not given an update on the status of the injury Callahan suffered tonight. By the looks of it, is appears to be a shoulder injury.   added 10:21pm,   Talbot on Callahan incident: "We decided to go and we were holding each other up and his shoulder popped out or something. Unfortunate." — Dave Lozo (@DaveLozo) January 30, 2013

Callahan out 10-14 days

Per Bob McKenzie, captain Ryan Callahan is out 10-14 days with a shoulder subluxation, which means that Cally’s shoulder popped out of its socket real fast, then settled back in. This could have been a lot worse, but the Rangers will definitely miss Cally while he is out for those two weeks. While he’s out, expect Carl Hagelin and Taylor Pyatt to get a lot of time with Derek Stepan. Tweet

Perfect Home Stand Would Erase Rangers' Early Struggles

Much of the fan base was in the tizzy about how the New York Rangers opened the lockout-shortened season and rightfully so. They looked out-of-sync, a step slow and, at times, completely lost. Not the winning brand of hockey we've grown accustom to here. And not the type of hockey that will get you a spot in the playoffs for a chance to win a Stanley Cup that everyone has predicted...

Game 6: Flyers at Rangers

2012-2013 Records: Flyers (2-4), Rangers (2-3) NYR Leading Scorer: Marian Gaborik (5-3-8) PHI Leading Scorer: Claude Giroux (2-2-2) NYR Goaltender: Henrik Lundqvist (5 GP, 3.14 GAA, .893 SV%) PHI Goaltender: Ilya Bryzgalov (5 GP, 2.22 GAA, .923 SV%) Rangers Lines: Rick Nash-Brad Richards-Marian Gaborik Carl Hagelin-Derek Stepan-Ryan Callahan Taylor Pyatt-Brian Boyle-Benn Ferriero...

Nash Not Scoring

Rick Nash has 1 goal on 26 shots. As well as he has played, and it has been very, very well, that's somewhat of a problem. — Dave Lozo (@DaveLozo) January 30, 2013 Nash has five assists and is a +5. ...you know what's strange, until I saw this tweet I didn't even notice. His game is so complete, he's been helping the Rangers win (see his five assists...

TheNYRBlog Spreecast Returns at 9:30PM

It's baaaaack! The New York Rangers Blog Spreecast returns at 9:30PM tonight. Come talk about whatever Rangers or NHL questions are on your mind, or if you want to sob uncontrollably about Ryan Callahan being injured. We are, after all, a family here. Follow me on Twitter @TheWrage. E-mail me with any questions or comments at Jwrabel9@hotmail.com

Video: Torts, Players Talk Cally Injury

These videos were filmed before Ryan Callahan injury news was released... ...love seeing Torts staying so positive and confident about his team despite losing Callahan. ...while I'm just as guilty as the next guy for criticizing Torts on a multitude of issues, I can say that this guy cares about the success of the Rangers organization and his players. It's why...

Rangers Hang On to Beat the Flyers

The New York Rangers survived a frantic third period to defeat the Philadelphia Flyers tonight by a score of 2-1 at Madison Square Garden. The way the Blueshirts played tonight is exactly the kind of style that won the team many games last season. They got some timely scoring from defenseman Michael Del Zotto and team captain Ryan Callahan before relying on their penalty killing...

Flyers Fall To Rangers, It's There Own Fault

Image courtesy of MSG. (Ryan Callahan left the game with an apparent shoulder injury) If you watched the game, you know the Flyers lost this game.  The Rangers played a strong game, but they certainly didn't win the game, we lost it.  The Flyers again were unable to capitalize on their power plays, and they get the loss. The Flyers went 1 for 6 on the PP tonight, they are now...

Rangers vs. Flyers (Game 6)

The New York Rangers (2-3-0) host the Philadelphia Flyers (2-4-0) at MSG starting at 7:00 p.m. For a preview go to Yahoo! Sports. Rangers Game Notes TV: MSG; Radio: ESPN Radio (FM 98.7), XM 213 Live Stream (Don't click on ads in stream, may download virus): http://www.firstrow1.eu/watch/166063/1/watch-new-york-rangers-vs-philadelphia-flyers.html Probable Lines...

Penguins-Rangers Preview

The New York Rangers appear to be back on track after a poor start to the season. The opposite has been true for the Pittsburgh Penguins, whose sudden dropoff after a solid opening has them searching for answers. The Rangers, though, will try to begin making do without captain Ryan Callahan as they look to stop a pair of losing streaks against Pittsburgh on Thursday night. New...
Rangers News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.