LATEST STORIES FROM ANAHEIM ANGELS ALL THE WAY
2010 Hitter Projections
Are available on Baseballprojection.com.The Pitcher projections are still in process, and will be several weeks away. I have the hitter overall projections on the team pages, but do not have the individual hitter pages like last year's. The 2009 Projections are all intact, just look for the archived projections section. I've moved from using excel to generate these to...
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November 15, 2009
Discuss
Lack of recent posts
Mostly, it's frustration with the comments. The spamming jackoffasaurs who post what look to be automated requests to come visit their stupid little scam site. I tried comment verification, I tried requiring registered users. Nothing worked. I don't have the time to clean up posts by deleting these comments. So I might as well just turn all the verification off. I&...
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September 30, 2009
Fill out your scouting report
Check out the scouting report by and for the fans. This is a great resource, really every bit as good as having access to the scouting reports teams keep secret.Link
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August 28, 2009
Kazmir is an Angel
In what looks to be mostly a salary dump, the Angels pick up Scott Kazmir, who was one of the better young pitchers in baseball from 2005 to 2008. I knew he was having a down season, but didn't realize he was 5.92 ERA bad. He missed a month due to injury. Since he came back, he's made 11 starts, 65 innings, 61 hits, 21 walks, 56 strikeouts. I think we can work with that...
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August 28, 2009
Angels Come to Camden
I went to see the Angels and Orioles play on Saturday night. It was a well pitched game by John Lackey and a solid Angel victory. I met Matt Welch and his dad at the game, along with a friend of mine from college who's also an East Coast Angel fan, and attended the game with his wife. Strangely enough, while my friend did not know Matt going into the game, they just so happened...
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August 17, 2009
The Number of the Beast
Woe to you oh earth and seafor the devil sends the beast with rathbecause he knows the time is shortlet him who hath understanding reckon the number of the beastfor it is a human numberits number is six hundred and sixty six-Iron MaidenThis is not the first time I've quoted Number of the beast on this blog, and probably won't be the last, because I like it. Yesterday the...
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August 17, 2009
Updated Angel Projections
I did this on Halos Heaven.Link
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August 13, 2009
How to Evaluate Catcher Defense
At least part of it. I remain agnostic as to how much impact a catcher's game calling has on pitchers. I use retrosheet, though you can make a reasonable approximation with data from Baseball-reference, Fangraphs, or Hardball Times.Data needed: Innings caught, Stolen bases allowed, caught stealing, passed balls, wild pitches, errors, and pickoffs. I have totals of these data...
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August 04, 2009
Minor League Defensive Stats
I've worked with Jeff Sackmann from Minor League Splits to apply the TotalZone defensive calculations to the minor leagues. We've done all the full season leagues through July 31st. Jeff provides the raw data, which he gathers from MLB gameday files, and I run the calculations.Some highlights are offered at Hardball Times. All the player data can be found on minor league...
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August 03, 2009
No Roy Halladay
I really like Roy Halladay. I would have loved to see him add to the Angel staff, and I still hope to one day see him win his 300th game in an Angel uniform for real, as he has already done in one of my MLB the Show video games.But I can't complain about the Angels holding on to prospects. The reason this team is in first place right now is because they have resisted trading...
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August 01, 2009
The Value of Bobby Abreu
According to Fangraphs, he's already earned more than double his 5 million 2009 salary, at 10.5 million. He hasn't hit too many homers, but with a .396 OBP, 19 steals, and 58 RBI, he's been a joy to watch. His value goes beyond the stats though, as Torii Hunter gives him some credit:Having Bobby Abreu here has been big for me. I'm more disciplined at the plate than...
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July 16, 2009
Top 500
The top 300 lists have been replaced by a top 500 list.
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July 11, 2009
Timelining
Are the players of today better than players of the past? If so, how much better? These are not easy questions to answer. It is possible to construct a study to estimate it. David Gassko did such for The Hardball Times two years ago, and did a good job, producing very reaonable results. Unfortunately, it is far from conclusive and very sensitive to whatever assumptions you use...
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July 11, 2009
Best Player, pound for pound
This post got me thinking. Is Ichiro the best player pound for pound?The answer is no, it's still Albert Pujols. But Ichiro does come in second. I took each player's career wins over replacement, and converted to a rate stat, wins per 12000 plate appearances. In other words, the number of PA a great player would put up in a long career.Albert is the best player, of course...
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July 06, 2009
Updated Wins Above Replacement
I've made a few changes:1. Add a column for reaching on errors for batters.2. Cap the replacement column, which is based on plate appearances, at 4 PA per game. The batter will be evaluated as if he has the lessor of 4 PA per game, or his actual plate appearances. This eliminates the leadoff bonus, where leadoff hitters may have added 1-2 runs per year to their rating just...
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July 05, 2009
Highest Leverage Index of All Time
...Or at least 1954, the years retrosheet has play by play files for.I sorted my career pitcher log by career leverage index, which measures the volatility of a game (1 is average, 9th inning, 1 run lead is high, 7th inning, 12 run lead is low). Since there are some pitchers who came up for a cup of coffee, might have for some emergency found themselves in a crucial sitation, and...
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July 03, 2009
Updated Hitter Projections
The player pages haven't changed, but I did add a hitter update in an excel spreadsheet on the right hand side of Baseballprojection.com.Some things that are not yet in the new program: Runs, RBI, SB, CS, and any estimate of playing time. For every player I just project 350 plate appearances, which is about what they'll get if they play every day from here on out.The projections...
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June 30, 2009
David Wright
I've been reading this thread on David Wright. It made me wonder what the proper weights are for projecting a player, varied by the component. I looked at strikeout rate, walk rate, homer rate, and BA on balls in play. The hitters I used are guys who had 400+ AB in 4 straight years from 1982 to 2005. I'm using the first 3 years to try and project year 5. The weights...
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June 24, 2009
Outfield Ratings for pre-Retrosheet
A few weeks ago I asked people to rate, on a scale of 1-5, the defensive play fro some outfielders who played from 1900 to 1950. Only 3 people answered the call, but I'll take what I can get (thank you to those who helped), and compare them to my system, JAARF (Just Another Adjusted Range Factor).I'll score my results as either hit if it reasonably matches the subjective...
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June 22, 2009
Praise for a few announcers
The normal thing for bloggers to do is wait for announcers to say something stupid, then write a post explaining exactly how they are stupid. Whole websites have been built around this concept. Sometimes, though, credit is due.Today's game of the week features Tampa Bay and the Mets. David Wright is currently hitting .350 but is on pace for 170 strikeouts and only 10 homers...
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June 20, 2009
Fact Check for Rob Dibble
I generally try to ignore most of the blabbering from the announcer's booth during games. But sometimes they just get on their points and just keep hammering at it, getting on my nerves. So I have to put my 2 cents in through the small forum I have into the baseball world, this blog.Today it's Rob Dibble, talking about the greatness of Derek Jeter's defense. He'...
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June 16, 2009
1970 World Series was Tainted
I was watching an Orioles classic game, game3 of the 1970 world series against Cincinnati, when the announcer said this, very matter of factly, about Red's pitcher Tony Cloninger:Striken with a mysterious eye ailment in 1967. A reaction from steroids, and uh, he was nearly blind in one eye. His vision's all right now.He threw ball four to the hitter and the announcers found...
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June 08, 2009
Randy Johnson 300 Wins
I wanted to see this game, going down to Nationals stadium last night only to have the whole thing rained out. I didn't try again today but at least got home in time to watch most of the game. Johnson pitched great for 6 innings, making a great defensive play nad watching Brian Wilson get a very close call in the 8th with the bases loaded, a 3-2 count, and a one run lead.I...
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June 04, 2009
Request for Help
On rating some outfielder defensive ability. I'm looking for students of baseball history here, because most of you never saw these guys play. I'm guessing most of you were not even alive to see these guys play.I'm working on a rating system for defensive ability for the days before retrosheet data is available. The players below started their careers no earlier than...
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June 01, 2009
Angels and Defense
So far the Angels are playing above average defense, with a +5.1 team UZR figure according to Fangraphs. I was a bit worried coming into the season, especially with the outfield being on the wrong side of 30.Most defensive metrics have shown a decline in Torii Hunter's game in recent years. Torii is aware of this, and is doing his best to prove them wrong. He's been amazing...
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May 28, 2009
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