LATEST STORIES FROM BEYOND THE BOX SCORE
Rookie of the Year and the Mythical Sophomore Slump
13 days ago by
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by Gene J. Puskar - AP
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Time to bust out your Kirt Manwaring Rated Rookie cards, kids. It's that time of year!
Rookie of the Year is a bit of a strange award. It'...
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14 days ago by
Beyond the Box Score
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2010 CHONE hitter projections are live. Gentlemen, start your spreadsheets. Here are the free agents.
Why game theory promises more than it can deliver. How often do you think, "we could solve this problem if only we had the right data"? It may not be true.
Bill...
Ryan Doumit and the Prospect of "Selling Low"
15 days ago by
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by Gene J. Puskar - AP
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The hot stove is in full effect, and teams are taking a hard look at their rosters to prepare for the winter meetings. One team that has already been...
2010 UZR Projections
15 days ago by
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I created UZR projections for the 2010 season and the values are available on a Google Documents Spreadsheet. I got 4 years worth of UZR numbers from Fangraphs. Then I did a 5-4-3-2 yearly weighting regressed to 125 games with a -0.7UZR aging factor (article where...
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17 days ago by
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The high inside fastball is most effective when thrown after another fastball, and other interesting findings from Nick. I wonder about his conclusion that pitchers are worried about throwing a ball on 3-0. Isn't that the best strategy sometimes?
The Super-Two tiebreaker is...
Free Agent Friday: Second Base 2010
17 days ago by
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These charts tells me the Royals are now in the Luis Rodriguez sweepstakes.
Click to enlarge
Full data after the jump.
Second basemen
AGE
TYPE
CLUB OPTION
WAR
UZR/150
wOBA
ISO
PA
Felipe Lopez
30
B
4.6
7.6
0.356
0.118...
JC Bradbury on "Hot Stove Myths"
17 days ago by
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JC Bradbury on "Hot Stove Myths"
I'm not sure what the make of this. I'm pretty sure it's wrong, though.
More discussion at Tango's blog.
Was Joe Mauer Streakier than Jimmy Rollins?
17 days ago by
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by Ted S. Warren - AP
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That some players are streakier than others is, for most baseball observers, nothing short of self-evident. Some guys get hot and stay hot only to descend...
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17 days ago by
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Alex Anthopolous will lead the scouts' counter-revolution! Well, that or he will allocate his firm's capital to the resources expected to yield the highest internal rate of return. You know, one or the other.
Converting OPS into wOBA, or killing a fly with a grenade-launcher...
Gold Glove vs. UZR (NL Edition)
18 days ago by
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by Manuel Balce Ceneta - AP
Philadelphia Phillies' Chase Utley (26) is congratulated by bench coach Pete Mackanin after scoring during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Mackanin...
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19 days ago by
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How transactions costs increase player movement under free agency. The Coase theorem does not apply when transaction costs are high; anyone know how much Scott Boras took home last year?
The doctrine of comparative advantage: the Rays and A's should trade for mutual benefit...
Gold Gloves vs. UZR: The Laziest Article I've Ever Written (AL Edition)
19 days ago by
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by Ted S. Warren - AP
During a pitching change in the sixth inning against the San Diego Padres in a baseball game Tuesday, June 23, 2009, center fielder Franklin Gutierrez (center) ponders aloud "You think...
wOBA to WAR Conversion Spreadsheet
19 days ago by
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Last Friday, Justin ran an article on free agent first basemen with their 2009 wOBAs. Justin and I determined that it needed a baseline wOBA for reference. The overall league averages can't be used because each position has its own run adjustment...
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20 days ago by
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A history of MLB partiy, part 1 (part 2)
Type B free agents had a higher average 2008/2009 WAR than their Type A counterparts
The Great General Manager Debate: NL Central edition
Did Moneyball increase the correlation between OBP and salary? Maybe.
How many championships...
A Few AFL PITCHf/x Leaders
20 days ago by
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I like the Arizona Fall League. I've been tracking and classifying a lot pitches, thanks to the PITCHf/x installations in Peoria and Surprise. Nearly 10,000 pitches through Saturday's Rising Stars Game.
Let's take a look-see at some of my favorite stats. These are...
Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Gains
20 days ago by
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by David J. Phillip - AP
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I know faithful BtB readers would never fail to discount attrition risk or regress expectations to the mean. I know this because you're a smart...
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22 days ago by
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Harry on Bard's breaking ball: "That which we call a slider, by any other name, would smell as sweet."
Visual scouting reports for batters using R. Or, alternatively, Jeremy Greenhouse keeps things hot.
How is slot-busting is like marijuana laws and other observations...
The Coming Avalanche of Non-Tenders?
22 days ago by
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by Charlie Riedel - AP
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A team with a player in his "arbitration years" has essentially three options. First, it can go through the arbitration process (using what...
Minnesota: Fielding TargetView Before & After JJ Hardy
23 days ago by
Beyond the Box Score
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Twins 2009 UZR/150, before JJ Hardy/Carlos Gomez Trade
See the excellent BtB analysis of the trade HERE.
Team Fielding Comparison after the jump.
Twins UZR/150, after JJ Hardy/Carlos Gomez Trade
Revised Chart assumption: Cuddyer takes CF after solid work there...
The "30 parks on a budget" challenge
23 days ago by
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The World Series is over. You're looking at another off-season of trying to figure out if your team should sign some middle-of-the-road middle infielder who won't bring the pennant next year either. And because you can only do that for about 15 minutes before...
A Complete and Lenghty List of Baseball-Related Things Miguel Olivo is Good At
23 days ago by
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by Nam Y Huh - AP
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1. Hitting for power.
Hardy for Gomez: A Defensive Win-Win
23 days ago by
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by Jim Mone - AP
Minnesota Twins' Carlos Gomez lays down a sacrifice bunt against the Houston Astros in the fifth inning of a baseball game Friday, June 19, 2009, in Minneapolis. He'll get to do more of...
Red Sox Acquire Jeremy Hermida
24 days ago by
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by Tom Mihalek - AP
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The Red Sox have acquired outfielder and former first-round pick (11th overall) Jeremy Hermida from the Florida Marlins. In return, the Marlins...
Free Agent Friday: First Base 2010
24 days ago by
Beyond the Box Score
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Click charts to enlarge. Full data after the jump.
2009 STATS & VALUE
First basemen
AGE
TYPE
CLUB OPTION
WAR
UZR/150
wOBA
ISO
Russell Branyan
34
2.8
2.4
0.368
0.269
Adam LaRoche
30
B
...
Which Side Won when Bobby Abreu Resigned for $19 Million with the Angels?
24 days ago by
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by Jae C. Hong - AP
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Bobby Abreu resigned with with the Angels today for $9 million guaranteed in each of the next two seasons with a 2012 option for $9 million...
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