LATEST STORIES FROM FUTURE REDBIRDS
Spring Training Stats
Rules to live by:
Spring Training stats have limited predictive value due to competition level and game theory changes
Spring Training stats always suffer from the small sample size criticism.
Interesting Prospect Spring Training Stats:
Blake King has pitched 4 innings walking 1 and striking out 3.
Brandon Dickson has been tagged for 7 runs (5 earned) in 6 innings.
Francisco Samuel...
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March 11, 2011
Discuss
HPGF – Good or Bad?
There was recently some discussion on twitter about the use of the #hpgf tag (I believe cariocacardinal was involved – you are like my muse this month!), also known as Hyperventilating Prospect Geek Fraternity. That phrase was coined by St. Louis Post-Dispatch’s Joe Strauss as a way to rip on us prospect watchers and our habits to over-valuate (in his opinion) the young...
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March 10, 2011
Maikel Cleto Versus
The St. Louis Post-Dispatch’s Derrick Goold is doing great work for all of us “at home” types and getting video of the Cardinal prospects in the “B” games. Today, he was able to catch video of Maikel Cleto versus Tommy Pham, Ryan Jackson, Zack Cox, Alex Castellanos and Oscar Taveras. Check out his full article at the P-D about Cleto as well. These looks at the never...
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March 09, 2011
Scouting Slang
Wanted to pass along this interesting article from Keith law on some scouting slang. Some I like (fringy) some not so much (extra guy) but the part on command versus control is well written as I’ve been asked to differentiate between the two frequently.
Scouting Glossary, Pt. 1 by Keith Law
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March 09, 2011
First Round of Spring Training Cuts
The Cardinals made their first round of Spring Training cuts on Sunday sending highly touted minor leaugers Shelby Miller and Zach Cox to minor league camp along with 7 of their comrades.
There’s nothing particularly surprising here but if you’re looking for a topic of conversation, which I am, it’s the optioning of Zach Cox. With the brittle ankles of David Freese, the third...
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March 07, 2011
Question
Mysterui sent me an interesting baseball question the other day about a fundamental change to the game and what it would mean. It made me start thinking about changes in the way the minor league system and draft works.
The question I’ll pose doesn’t have a right or wrong answer and it isn’t something that would necessarily be for the “good of the game”...
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March 04, 2011
Adron Chambers Continues To Impress On And Off the Field
Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch catches up with red-hot prospect Adron Chambers. Chambers is so red hot that even a professional curmudgeon like Joe Strauss is on board the Adron train. Goold covered Adron’s history and many other topics in the Q&A, including how he got discovered:
Back in 2007, Chambers paid $100 to buy a bus ticket from his home in Pensacola...
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March 02, 2011
Spring Training Pictures
I can’t help but pass along this picture from reader Jim who had the good fortune to visit Spring Training.
What would get this collection of players huddled around a single field with such intent. Turns out it was Shelby Miller throwing BP.
That’s pretty cool. You can also make out a contingent of minor leaguers on the right: Kevin Thomas, Scott McGregor ...
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March 01, 2011
Carlos Martinez in Jupiter
(I’m indisposed with work and home buying activities. Apologies for spotting posting lately.)
Carlos Martinez threw in Jupiter on Saturday. Joe Strauss has a quick historical synopsis at the P-D. Some fun quotes at the end:
But even before Martinez took the mound, Mozeliak saw the new man in camp throwing in the outfield and uttered “wow.”"These kind of...
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February 28, 2011
St. Louis Cardinals Prospect Stock Market
This comment by Cariocacardinal got me thinking about a prospect stock market for Cardinals prospects. I’ll revisit this throughout the year, but who do you think has their stock up to start the season? Shelby Miller (code: SHEL) and Tyrell Jenkins (code:TYRE) look to have their stock way up. Whose stock is down? Daryl Jones (code: DJON) is plummeting. Is it a good time...
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February 24, 2011
The Candidates
(No, Adam Wainwright is not Jacob, but some hot August nights when he pitched a complete game 1-hitter… it did feel like it.)
With the potentially devastating news from Cardinals camp that Adam Wainwright has a “serious” elbow injury; the next thoughts are always about replacements whether externally or internally. In the Cardinals case, they said right now that they will...
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February 23, 2011
Early Thoughts on 2011 Draftees
It’s still incredibly early to be talking about this year’s draft but I’m more interested than I’ve been in the past couple years and Keith Law recently released his top 50 list for the draft. As much as this draft is billed as having top talent, it doesn’t mesh well with the Cardinals overall needs and it looks very pitching heavy to me.
I can’...
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February 22, 2011
Brett Wallace: A Good Trade
We often forget the prospect that fails for the next tantalizing kid to come along. This is even more true when the prospect gets traded. John Mozeliak and company deserve huge kudos for selling high on Brett Wallace and this interesting tidbit from Keith Law helps explain way.
The way Wallace’s rise to the majors has stalled out has been a hot topic among scouts this winter...
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February 21, 2011
Zack Cox and Third Base
Nothing is better this time of the year than a little shaky cam footage of prospects live on site in Jupiter. Nothing against Derrick Goold or the P-D staff, because I love seeing these videos, but both this fielding video and this batting practice video both give me a quick headache. PS P-D team- here’s a iPhone steadycam that costs less than $200. Also, I did not chose...
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February 17, 2011
Success And Failure
Erik pointed out a great post on Royal Review by Scott McKinney in which Scott takes a look at a Success and Bust rates for Baseball America’s top 100 prospects over 13 years to see how they turned out. And I thought that on the eve of spring training, this was a good check on the “hope springs eternal” optimism of Spring Training.
To cut to the chase (and you...
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February 16, 2011
Colby Rasmus’s Player Page
I remember when Colby got started in the bigs in 2009. Part of the reason I remember that is that I was feverishly waiting to claim sponsorship of his Baseball-Reference.com page.
I stumbled on this page this morning only to find that Colby is the 86th most visited player page on Baseball-Reference. There’s really no point to this story other than the fact that it brought me...
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February 11, 2011
Community Projection Results: Shelby Miller
I actually think the results for Miller came out to be very plausible. We had someone people who thought he’d do quite well and others who thought he’d have a bit of a rockier year. I’m personally a touch average on his FIP but overall it was a relatively clustered group of FIPs. Now, Miller could also completely bomb out in a full season of Double A but if he performs...
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February 11, 2011
Another International Signing
This time it’s a SS from Venezuala:
#Cardinals get approval from MLB for deal with Venezuelan SS Leobaldo Pina. He received bonus around $300,000. More deals pending. #stlcards
per Derrick Goold
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February 10, 2011
More Intel On Fernando Gonzalez
MLB.com’s St. Louis Cardinals’ reporter Matthew Leach was kind enough to get more information about newly signed Dominican right-hander Fernando Gonzalez from farm director John Vuch. Check out Leach’s full blog here. If you don’t read his article at OYNAG or on MLB.com, you are severely missing out. He and Derrick Goold are the two go-to beat writers...
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February 10, 2011
Cards Sign Another Dominican Prospect
The Cardinals signed pitcher Fernando Gonzalez yesterday and today they have signed another per Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. This signing is left-handed outfielder Jorge Araujo. Per Goold:
He throws and hits lefthanded, and vice president of player procurement Jeff Luhnow described him as “toolsy.”
And in his tweet, Derrick Goold hints that there “...
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February 10, 2011
Distraction? Now That’s A Distraction.
This is obviously not super relevant to the minor leagues of the St. Louis Cardinals which is Future Redbirds bread and butter, but we are all Cardinal fans here and I’ll be damned if I’m not getting this off my chest in the form of a blog post. We’ve previously covered how the farm system can attempt to replace Albert Pujols from two different angles here and here.
Let&...
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February 09, 2011
Cardinals sign Dominican League’s Fernando Gonzalez
Per Dominican Prospect League via MLBTR
16 year old RHP signed for $66k drawing comparisons to Leo Nunez and you probably won’t hear his name again for another 2-3 years.
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February 08, 2011
Community Projections: Shelby Miller
We’ll project our #1 prospect this week. I’ve debated what assumption to make regarding his level. Let’s say that the Cardinals are aggressive with Mr. Miller and he gets his wish playing the entire season at Springfield. Projections should be in the following format:
IP,Hits,BB,K,HR,ERA
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February 07, 2011
A Look At First Base Without #5
The Pujols negotiations are, well, pretty boring. If you are like me, you’re sick of hearing about aimless speculation about what will happen next. So lets speculate less aimlessly, if you will, about the future at first base without Five. We’ve got a few options. One, Matt Adams, may be a little far away, but that could change with an incredibly important, and what I...
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February 06, 2011
Community Projection Results: Daniel Descalso
Most projections have Descalso holding pace from last year and performing a tick better. My personal line for him comes out to .276/.339/.391 as I think 2010 was probably about as good as we can expect from him. I’m n the minority there as the next closest projection still has .017 wOBA points on me — about 6 runs over the course of a season.
Full Results after the...
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February 04, 2011
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