LATEST STORIES FROM HOCKEYANALYSIS.COM

Leafs, Kings and Devils – Rush goals and shooting percentage

Tyler Dellow has an interesting post on differences between the Kings and Leafs offensive production. He comes at the problem from a slightly different angle than I have explored in my rush shot series so definitely go give it a read. These two paragraphs discuss a theory of Dellow’s that is interesting. That’s the sort [...] The post Leafs, Kings and Devils – Rush goals and...
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7 hours ago  |  Discuss

Team 5v5 road Rush Shot Statistics – 7 year and 3 year

There was some discussion of rush shots over at Pensburgh.com and I realized I haven’t really provided much in the way of team rush stats other than some in chart form. So, here are some tables with 7 year and 3 year data in 5v5 road situations (sorted by RushSh% or RushSv%). 7 year Shooting Percentages [...] The post Team 5v5 road Rush Shot Statistics – 7 year and 3 year appeared...
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11 hours ago  |  Discuss

Rush Shot Stats for Individual Players – Forwards

If you haven’t read my previous posts on rush shots or want to learn more about how I determine what is and what is not a rush shot please go back and read the series. Introducing Rush Shots Rush Shots Leading vs Trailing and Home vs Road Rush Shot Save Percentage Columbus Blue Jackets and [...] The post Rush Shot Stats for Individual Players – Forwards appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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5 days ago  |  Discuss

Columbus Blue Jackets and Rush Shots

Before I get into rush shots of individual players I am going to look at some teams. I am starting with the Columbus Blue Jackets which was suggested for me to look at by Jeff Townsend who was interested to see impact the decline of Steve Mason and then the transition to Bobrovsky had. Before we get [...] The post Columbus Blue Jackets and Rush Shots appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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8 days ago  |  Discuss

Rush Shot Save Percentage

I have written a couple of posts (here and here) on rush shots as it relates to shooting percentages and I investigate this further at a later date. First though, I wanted to take a look at save percentages on rush and non-rush shots. Let’s start by looking at teach teams 5v5 road save percentages for [...] The post Rush Shot Save Percentage appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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9 days ago  |  Discuss

Rush Shots Leading vs Trailing and Home vs Road

Yesterday I introduced the concept of rush shots which are basically any shot we can identify as being a shot taken subsequent to a rush up the ice which can be determined by the location of previous face off, shot, hit, giveaway or takeaway events. If you haven’t read the post from yesterday go give [...] The post Rush Shots Leading vs Trailing and Home vs Road appeared first...
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13 days ago  |  Discuss

Introducing “Rush” shots

I have been pondering doing this for a while and over the past few days I finally got around to it. I have had a theory for a while that an average shot resulting from a rush up the ice is more difficult than a shot than the average shot that is generated by offensive [...] The post Introducing “Rush” shots appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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14 days ago  |  Discuss

Why can’t players boost a goalies save percentage?

The other day I put up a post on Mike Weaver’s and Bryce’s Salvador’s possible ability to boost their goalies save percentage and I followed it up with a post on the Maple Leafs defensemen where we saw Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Gleason and Gardiner all seemingly able to do so as well while Robidas had the [...] The post Why can’t players boost a goalies save percentage? appeared...
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19 days ago  |  Discuss

Maple Leaf defensemen and their effect on save percentage

The other day I looked at the effect that Mike Weaver and Bryce Salvador had on their teams save percentage (if you haven’t read it, definitely go give it a read) when they were on the ice versus when they weren’t on the ice. Today I am going to take a look at the Maple Leaf defensemen [...] The post Maple Leaf defensemen and their effect on save percentage appeared first on...
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21 days ago  |  Discuss

Mike Weaver’s impact on save% (and Bryce Salvador’s too)

The other day I commented on twitter that I would be happy if the Leafs signed defenseman Mike Weaver because I think he is a defensive defenseman that I think the Leafs could really use. I have thought of Mike Weaver as a premier defensive defenseman for quite some time now. I always seem to [...] The post Mike Weaver’s impact on save% (and Bryce Salvador’s too) appeared first...
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23 days ago  |  Discuss

WOWY Analysis of Umberger for Hartnell trade

More often than not the first thing I look at when I want to evaluate a player is their WOWY stats to see if the player boosts the performance of their teammates or suppress it when he is on the ice. Let’s take a look at a WOWY comparision of Umberger and Hartnell starting with [...] The post WOWY Analysis of Umberger for Hartnell trade appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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June 23, 2014  |  Discuss

5v5close Primary Points per 60 minutes Leaders

My intention is to add primary point totals to stats.hockeyanalysis.com sometime this summer but I have calculated them over the past 4 seasons during 5v5close play and thought I’d present a more complete leader board here (I mentioned the top 5 on twitter already). Rank Player Name PPts/60 1 CROSBY, SIDNEY 2.87 2 STAMKOS, STEVEN [...] The post 5v5close Primary Points per 60 minutes...
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June 19, 2014  |  Discuss

Bryce Salvador and looking beyond corsi

The rumour is out there that Sunny Mehta has been hired as Director of Hockey Analytics of the New Jersey Devils (if true, a big congrats to Sunny). This sparked some twitter discussion about the Devils and analytics and Devils defensemen including Bryce Salvador. @hockeyanalysis @ToddCordell I don’t know a ton about him apart from [...] The post Bryce Salvador and looking beyond...
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June 12, 2014  |  Discuss

Planning offseason upgrades to stats.hockeyanalysis.com

I am in the process of planning off season upgrades to stats.hockeyanalysis.com and I am seeking your input as I know a number of you have made suggestions/requests in the past (some of which I haven’t kept track of unfortunately). Here are some of my planned upgrades. Generally I’d like to add more charts and [...] The post Planning offseason upgrades to stats.hockeyanalysis...
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June 06, 2014  |  Discuss

Being honest about “possession” stats as a predictive tool

I often feel that I am the sole defender of goal based hockey analyitics in a world dominated by shot attempt (corsi) based analytics. In recent weeks I have often heard the pro-corsi crowd cite example after example of where corsi-based analytics “got it right” or “predicted something fairly well”. While it is always good [...] The post Being honest about “possession...
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May 11, 2014  |  Discuss

Thoughts on Hockey Analytics

It seems every time a new hockey person gets hired these days they will get asked “do you believe in hockey analytics?” It started with Trevor Linden in Vancouver. Then Brendan Shanahan in Toronto. And today Brad Treliving in Calgary. Nichols on hockey has a good rundown on both Treliving’s and Burke’s response to the [...] The post Thoughts on Hockey Analytics appeared first...
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April 28, 2014  |  Discuss

Can last years statistics predict this years playoff teams?

As of last night games all 16 playoff teams have been determined. Before I get into any playoff predictions, lets take a look at how last seasons 5v5 close statistics do at predicting who would make the playoffs this season. The above table shows last years 5v5close GF% and CF% and the teams in red [...]The post Can last years statistics predict this years playoff teams? appeared...
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April 12, 2014  |  Discuss

Stats on stats.hockeyanalysis.com

The past few weeks while I have been shifting my website from one web host to another in an attempt to fight off the DDoS attacks I started thinking about how big my stats.hockeyanalysis.com database actually is. I was thinking about it because of how long it takes to upload the data to a new [...]The post Stats on stats.hockeyanalysis.com appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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April 08, 2014  |  Discuss

Hackers forcing me to permanently shut down stats.hockeyanalysis.com

I have some regrettable news to pass on. Due to the recent severe and frequent DDoS attacks on my website I will be shutting down stats.hockeyanalysis.com permanently. Over the past few weeks I have been hit by a couple of massive DDoS attacks and several smaller ones which twice had my web host shut down [...]The post Hackers forcing me to permanently shut down stats.hockeyanalysis...
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April 01, 2014  |  Discuss

Two Graphs and 665 words that will convince you on Shooting %

Last week Tyler Dellow had a post titled “Two Graphs and 480 Words That Will Convince You On Corsi%” in which, you can say, I was less than convinced (read the comments). This post is my rebuttal that will attempt to convince you on the importance of Sh% in player evaluation. The problem with shooting [...]The post Two Graphs and 665 words that will convince you on Shooting ...
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March 31, 2014  |  Discuss

Lets talk Corsi…

I know I am in a bit of a minority but it is my opinion that one of the greatest failings of hockey analytics thus far is overstating the importance of Corsi at both the team and (especially) the individual level. In a post yesterday about Luke Gazdic Tyler Dellow of mc79hockey.com wrote: We care [...]The post Lets talk Corsi… appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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March 11, 2014  |  Discuss

Critiquing plus/minus and corsi fairly

There is a recently posted article on BroadStreetHockey.com discussing overused and overrated statistics. The first statistic on that list is Plus/Minus. Plus/minus has its flaws and gets wildly misused at times but it doesn’t mean it is a useless statistics if used correctly so I want to defend it a little but also put it [...]The post Critiquing plus/minus and corsi fairly appeared...
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February 09, 2014  |  Discuss

Phil Kessel and his contract comparables

It appears that Phil Kessel’s is on the verge of signing an 8 year, $8M/yr contract with the Leafs so this is a good time to compare this contract to a couple other elite wingers who have signed contracts in the past year or so. Corey Perry and Zach Parise. I have also chosen to [...]The post Phil Kessel and his contract comparables appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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October 01, 2013  |  Discuss

What is ‘open play’ hockey?

In a series of recent posts at mc79hockey.com, Tyler Dellow discussed a new concept (to me anyway) that he called ‘open play’ hockey. In a post on “The Theory of the Application of Corsi%” he wrote: I have my own calculation that I do of what I call an open play Corsi%. I wipe out [...]The post What is ‘open play’ hockey? appeared first on HockeyAnalysis.com.
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September 21, 2013  |  Discuss

Why corsi/possession should not be the goal

Let’s imagine a sport where two factors are equally correlated with winning so that FactorA is 50% correlated with winning and FactorB is 50% correlated with winning. Now for years general managers in this sport only ever knew that FactorA existed and when choosing how to build their team they only ever considered FactorA. Now [...]The post Why corsi/possession should not be the...
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September 16, 2013  |  Discuss
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