LATEST STORIES FROM KENPOM.COM
That dying 3-point shot
2 hours ago by
KenPom.com
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Perhaps the most interesting statistical trend over the early weeks of this season is the number of 3-point attempts being jacked up. Here’s how 3-point attempt percentage has progressed over the past three seasons.
3PA%
2008 34.4
2009 33.1
2010 32.4
Obviously the dip last...
Interesting Reads
3 days ago by
KenPom.com
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The whole Belichick thing got me to reading football analysis this week. It also got me wondering, what do people do when everyone around the water cooler is taking the side of Wilbon in these situations? My MO is to politely excuse myself from the conversation and then come home...
Excerpts from the 1953 Official NCAA Basketball Guide
7 days ago by
KenPom.com
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A while back I picked up a copy of the 1953 Official NCAA Basketball Guide. Within the 269 pages of the Guide, there is almost everything one could want to try to reconstruct the state of the game back then, including previews of the upcoming season, standings for the previous season...
Alabama is going to win it all
11 days ago by
KenPom.com
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Or at least they have a very good chance. That’s all I can conclude from the odds put on them to go all the way. Witness: Up until a couple days ago, Bodog had the Tide at 20-1, with only 11 teams having better odds. They since dropped them to 40-1, but there are only 20 teams...
The Book
13 days ago by
KenPom.com
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It’s possible there will be semi-regular posting here at some point, but not just yet. In the meantime, please purchase a copy of College Basketball Prospectus 2009-10: Major-Conference Preview (with some non major-conference content). It’s remarkably cheap, yet just as...
Wesley Johnson took 39% of his team’s shots
18 days ago by
KenPom.com
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In some future time, that will be the headline from a game like Syracuse’s exhibition loss to Le Moyne on Tuesday. The actual outcome of the contest, while surprising, isn’t terribly significant. Michigan State memorably lost to Grand Valley State in an exhibition two years ago...
Schedules are up!
26 days ago by
KenPom.com
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Since exhibitions are being played, it’s about time I got the 2010 schedule pages up. There are surely some errors. If you see one, please let me know. (As always, games where an opponent is TBA are not included.)
My First Shot
August 13, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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The chances to win the PGA are posted. I would have like to make the chance column sortable, but I haven’t gotten that finished, and D.J. Trahan is about to tee off.
Tiger’s chances come out to around 25% which is a bit low when you consider he’s won 12 of 37 majors in...
Tiger vs. 155 Phil’s
August 12, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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My golf rankings system has values for both rating and standard deviation. If we assume that a players scores are normally distributed (and we will!) then it’s fairly easy to calculate a player’s probability of beating another using these two figures. The chance of Tiger Woods...
Bernhard Langer Has Game
August 11, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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Existing golf rankings have left me a little unsatisfied. The best ratings minds in America have given it a shot. Sagarin does some for GolfWeek, but he doesn’t include the seniors tours. Dolphin looks like he is trying to get something going, but he’s only using 2009 results from...
Glory’s Last Shot
August 10, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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Have you ever wanted to build a model that would assess every player’s odds of winning a golf tournament? Me too! So that’s what I spent the last few weeks doing. The result is the first ever post on professional golf in this spot. Golf doesn’t have much in common with college...
Changes
July 29, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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I’ve changed the schedule pages to allow for one-stop shopping for (almost all of) the team-related info found on the site. There are probably a few things that are broken as a result. Just drop me a and I’ll fix them as soon as I can. I still need to add the position-related...
Introducing FanMatch
July 29, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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It can be easy to get lost in the modern-day college hoops world with dozens of games being played each night, many of them broadcast on outlets you barely know exist. Ever kick yourself for watching a dud of a game on a four-letter network only to find out the next morning that you...
Defensive Fingerprint
July 29, 2009 by
KenPom.com
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Defensive Fingerprint attempts to objectively identify the style of a team’s defense. Inputs into the system are the departure from the D-1 norm of the following defensive characteristics…
- assist percentage (triple weight, higher means a more likely zone team)
- 3-point...
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