LATEST STORIES FROM REPLACEMENT LEVEL YANKEES

A Tale of Two Hitters

PA BB% K% BIP GB% FB% LD% IFFB% Player A 634 4.2% 10.9% 549 46.3% 32.4% 18.9% 2.4% Player B 621 4.4% 9.9% 543 46.0% 32.2% 19.7% 2.0% BB%: Walks per PA K%: Strikeouts per PA BIP: Balls in play GB%: Ground ball percentage FB%: Fly ball percentage LD%: Line drive percentage IFFB: Infield...
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The Real Magic Number

The normal magic number formula for the playoffs is 163 - team wins - other team losses.  If you use that formula, the Yankees magic number for clinching a playoff spot is 5 assuming Texas is who they’re competing against.  However, what the formula doesn’...
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Yankees.com: Yanks rally, walk off with win over Jays

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NEW YORK—Hideki Matsui woke up a slumbering offense with a game-tying home run, and Francisco Cervelli came through with the winning hit, as the Yankees came from behind to defeat the Blue Jays on Wednesday, 5-4. With New York’s bats quiet after a two-run...
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Blue Jays (66-79) @ Yankees (93-53), Wednesday, September 16, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

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TOR: Brian Tallet (31, LHP, 7-9, 5.26 ERA, 4.63 FIP, 0.0 WAR) vs NYY: Chad Gaudin (26, RHP, 1-0, 3.42 ERA, 5.44 FIP, 0.5 WAR) Lineups TBA New York Yankees Derek Jeter, SS (.332/.396/.468, 5.1 WAR) Jerry Hairston, LF (.258/.355/.435, 0.4 WAR) Mark Teixeira, 1B (.286...
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2009 AL MVP: Pitcher Candidates

As promised, following up on yesterday's look at the AL MVP candidates on the position player side here's a look at the pitchers. Before I show the numbers, I'd like to explain how I look at value for pitchers. While I think Fangraphs is a great site, I don't like...
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NY Daily News: Yankees lefty Andy Pettitte to miss Wednesday’s start with shoulder fatigue Read mor

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The Yankees’ biggest postseason concern - their starting rotation - got considerably more problematic yesterday. Andy Pettitte has shoulder fatigue and will skip his start tonight against the Blue Jays. Sweet!
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Blue Jays (65-79) @ Yankees (93-52), Tuesday, September 15, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

Halladay
TOR: Roy Halladay (32, RHP, 14-9, 3.03 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 5.1 WAR) vs NYY: Sergio Mitre (28, RHP, 3-2, 7.02 ERA, 4.69 FIP, -1.2 WAR) Lineups Toronto Blue Jays Marco Scutaro, SS (.284/.380/.413, 4.5 WAR) Aaron Hill, 2B (.288/.327/.495, 2.5 WAR) Adam Lind, DH (.298/.361...
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Yet Another Person Looks at the 2009 AL MVP Race

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It's a subject that's getting beaten to death in the MSM and the blogosphere, but I was asked about doing a look at the AL MVP race and I hate to disappoint the readers, so here it is. Before I start, I'll just list the names of the primary players who I've seen get...
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Yankees.com: Yanks beat Halos at their own speed game

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NEW YORK—The Yankees took a play out of the Angels’ speedy playbook on Monday, as Brett Gardner took third base on an eighth-inning double-steal and came home on a throwing error to help secure a 5-3 victory at Yankee Stadium. Gardner entered the game as a...
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Angels (86-56) @ Yankees (92-52), Monday, September 14, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

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BAL: Jered D Weaver (26, RHP, 15-5, 3.76 ERA, 4.05 FIP, 4.0 WAR) vs NYY: Joba L Chamberlain (23, RHP, 8-5, 4.45 ERA, 4.52 FIP, 0.8 WAR) Lineups California Angels TBA New York Yankees Derek Jeter, SS (.332/.397/.471, 5.2 WAR) Johnny Damon, LF (.286/.369/.504, 3.3 WAR...
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Yankee Walkoff Wins Revisited, 1954-1979

A couple of weeks ago I wrote about the Yankees and their walkoff wins. It turns out that I my play by play database was missing several complete seasons, which means the numbers I showed were off. I've fixed the problem and also added in the years 1954-1960 and re-ran...
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Yankees.com: Matsui keeps Sabathia rolling past O’s

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NEW YORK—Entering Sunday’s play, the Yankees had not lost three straight games at home since the first week of May. They were not about to break that streak. CC Sabathia recovered from some early hiccups to pitch seven strong innings and Derek Jeter recorded three hits...
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Orioles (58-83) @ Yankees (91-52), Sunday, September 13, 2009, 1:05pm **Game Chatter**

Mlb_jun_16_4eba
BAL: Jeremy Guthrie (30, RHP, 10-13, 4.96 ERA, 5.28 FIP, 1.4 WAR) vs NYY: CC Sabathia (28, LHP, 16-7, 3.40 ERA, 3.40 FIP, 4.7 WAR) Lineups Baltimore Orioles Don’t know, don’t care. New York Yankees Derek Jeter, SS (.330/.395/.468, 5.0 WAR) Johnny Damon,...
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Orioles (57-83) @ Yankees (91-51), Saturday, September 12, 2009, 1:05pm **Game Chatter**

BAL: Brian Matusz (22, LHP, 4-2, 5.26) vs. NYY: A.J. Burnett (32, RHP, 11-8, 4.19) Yankees trailing 6-1 in the bottom of the fourth. Yankee Win Probability: 14.2% Sorry for the late thread.  Maybe it’ll change the luck.
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Orioles (56-83) @ Yankees (91-50), Friday, September 11, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

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BAL: Christopher S Tillman (21, RHP, 1-3, 4.67 ERA, 6.35 FIP, 0.6 WAR) vs NYY: Andy Pettitte (37, LHP, 13-6, 4.10 ERA, 4.18 FIP, 2.1 WAR) Lineups Baltimore Orioles Brian Roberts, 2B (.283/.349/.454, 2.6 WAR) Cesar Izturis, SS (.251/.279/.330, 0.4 WAR) Nick Markakis, RF...
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NY Post: Sherman - Four Yanks-keteers still together

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ON Aug. 25, 1992, Derek Jeter was promoted from the Rookie Gulf Coast League to the Low-A Greensboro Hornets. He didn’t really want to be there. He was exhausted, homesick and frustrated from a first dabble in professional ball at Tampa, where he hit .202 and ran his phone...
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Yankee Infield and Outfield Defensive Metrics, 2002-2009

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I haven't really looked at the Yankee defense much lately, so I was messing around with the numbers this morning and found out that this is possibly the best Yankee defense of at least the last eight seasons. Here's a breakdown looking at the IF and OF. I'm ignoring catchers...
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Best OPS+ Seasons by a Catcher aged 35 or older, minimum of 375 PA, 1901-2009

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Minimum of 75% of games played at catcher. Player Year Age Tm Lg PA AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+ Gabby Hartnett 1937 36 CHC NL 405 .354 .424 .548 .972 158 Jorge Posada 2007 35 NYY AL 589 .338 .426 .543 .969 154 Ernie Lombardi 1945 37 NYG NL 417 .307 .387 .486 .873 141 Carlton Fisk 1989 41...
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When Might the Yankees Clinch the AL East (if they do)?

A few weeks back, I got an email from a reader who wondered if I could give him the probability of the Yankees clinching the division on certain dates. With a little bit of tweaking, I was able to rig my Monte Carlo simulator to do just that. I didn't want to post about it then...
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Yankees.com: On Jeter’s night, Yanks show their grit

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NEW YORK—Tying Lou Gehrig’s franchise hits record would have been bittersweet for Derek Jeter if his team had lost Wednesday’s game. And so the Yankees found a way to win. Pinch-hitter Jorge Posada hit a go-ahead three-run homer in the bottom of the...
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Rays (72-67) @ Yankees (90-50), Wednesday, September 9, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

Mlb_jun_16_c9d6
TBR: Jeff Niemann (26, RHP, 12-5, 3.67 ERA, 4.15 FIP, 2.9 WAR) vs NYY: Joba L Chamberlain (23, RHP, 8-5, 4.41 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 0.8 WAR) Lineups Tampa Bay Rays Jason Bartlett, SS (.331/.392/.512, 4.1 WAR) TSCC, LF (.305/.361/.453, 4.4 WAR) Evan Longoria, 3B (.281/.359/.541...
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Yankees.com: Swisher’s walk-off takes heat off Jeter

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NEW YORK—Nick Swisher belted a one-out solo homer in the bottom of the ninth inning to give the Yankees a 3-2 win over the Rays on Tuesday night. Swisher entered the game having hit 21 of his 24 homers on the road, but he connected for two solo shots, including the...
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Rays (72-66) @ Yankees (89-50), Tuesday, September 8, 2009, 7:05pm **Game Chatter**

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TBR: David T Price (23, LHP, 7-7, 4.75 ERA, 4.77 FIP, 0.1 WAR) vs NYY: Chad Gaudin (26, RHP, 1-0, 4.07 ERA, 5.80 FIP, 0.2 WAR) Lineups Tampa Bay Rays Jason Bartlett, SS (.332/.393/.507, 4.0 WAR) Carl Crawford, LF (.301/.358/.447, 4.2 WAR) Evan Longoria, 3B (.281/.360...
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Consistency

Although the word is really overused in baseball, often without any significant meaning, I had a vague sense that the 2009 Yankees are pretty consistent offensively. In other words, just off the top of my head, they seemed to do a pretty good job of scoring enough runs to win more...
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Yankees.com: Jeter quiet, but Yanks erupt in Game 2

NEW YORK—A.J. Burnett picked up right where CC Sabathia left off—albeit with a little more run support—to lift the Yankees to an 11-1 win in the nightcap of Monday’s Labor Day doubleheader against the Rays. Nice start by Burnett, albeit against a somewhat...
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