LATEST STORIES FROM VEGAS WATCH
Sunday Frequently Updated Post
March 15, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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1:23pm: Happy Selection Sunday. I think I'm going to set up a live chat, similar to this one, after the Big 10 game ends (around 5:30pm EST). Until then it'll be the same as the last few days, although there's obviously less going on.
Saturday Frequently Updated Post
March 14, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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12:02pm:Tulsa (+14.5) @ Memphis, now - Tulsa likely needs to win this to get inMississippi St. (+3.5) vs. LSU, 1pm - a win here may put MSU over the topFlorida St. (+8.5) vs. North Carolina, 1:30pm - I think Lawson is still out, but not sureOhio St. (+8.5) vs. Michigan St., 1:40pm...
Friday Frequently Updated Post
March 13, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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11:49am This afternoon's slate:Minnesota (+7.5) vs. Michigan St., 12pm - the Spartans probably control their own fate with regard to a #1 seed; Gophers are likely in even with a lossVirginia Tech (+11) vs. North Carolina, 12pm - no Lawson, the Tar Heels really have no reason to...
This Week's Links (3/9-3/13)
March 13, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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I'm going to be out all morning, but should be back by the time the games actually start for a post similar to yesterday's."C-USA sucks! Memphis is so overrated, they couldn't even beat Syracuse! I'm hilarious!"Berkeley Caroll alum Adam Ottavino dominated...
Thursday Frequently Updated Post
March 12, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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I don't want to call this a live-blog, since it won't be as constant as last year's marathon. But I'll be around all day and update this post every hour or two.The big news from yesterday was Texas A&M not showing up for the second half against TTU. While Texas...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: Big Ten
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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The full bracket is here.Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology.Pom: Current Pomeroy rating.Adj.: Adjustment made to that rating (in points) based on recent lines.HCA: Adjustment made for home-court advantage.2R, Semis, Final, Champ: Chances of advancing to each...
This Week's Links (2/9-2/13)
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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It's baseball season.Joe Johnson, Kevin Durant, and O.J. Mayo are going to play HORSE -- er, GEICO -- on Saturday night. Johnson is a slight favorite.Some sane takes on A-Rod: Posnanski, The Dugout, Neyer, Sheehan, THT.This new injury tool thing is awesome.Ichiro won't be pitching...
2009 MLB Wins Over/Unders
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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This post originally listed the Bodog odds, which were taken down before they were even open for betting. The original post can be found here.Courtesy of The Greek, here they are:Arizona- 86.5Atlanta- 83.5Baltimore- 73.5Boston- 94.5Chicago C- 91.5Chicago W- 79.5Cincinnati- 80.5Cleveland...
This Week's Links (2/16-2/20)
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Michael Lewis on Shane Battier and "sabermetric" analysis in basketball.An interesting article over at Basketball Prospectus on using Pomeroy's numbers in the tournament. The second to last table, about 3/4 of the way down, is the most relevant one; no surprises there...
Projecting Bracketology: Week 5
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Thankfully, things are back to normal over at ESPN. Here are the results of this week's 20,000 simulations:The quality of teams seems less evenly distributed than usual this week. Two #2 seeds -- Memphis and Louisville -- have drastically different draws. In this bracket, Pomeroy...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: Pac-10
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Bracket is here.Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology.Pom: Current Pomeroy rating.Adj.: Adjustment made to that rating (in points) based on recent lines.HCA: Adjustment made for home-court advantage.2R, Semis, Final, Champ: Chances of advancing to each round, based...
RIP, Blue Demons
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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DePaul's season ended Thursday afternoon with an 83-74 loss to Providence. Not much was expected of them this year -- the Big East coaches had them finishing 15th in the preseason -- but it's clear that nobody expected them to finish 206th in Pomeroy and not win a regular...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: SEC
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Now the one you've all been waiting for. The full SEC bracket can be found here. Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology. Pom: Current Pomeroy rating. Adj.: Adjustment made to that rating (in points) based on recent lines. HCA: Adjustment made for home-court...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: ACC
March 11, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Full bracket can be found here. Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology. Pom: Current Pomeroy rating. Adj.: Adjustment made to that rating (in points) based on recent lines. HCA: Adjustment made for home-court advantage. 2R, Semis, Final, Champ: Chances of advancing...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: Big 12
March 10, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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The full bracket can be found here. (click to enlarge) Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology. Pom: Current Pomeroy rating. Adj.: Adjustment made to that rating (in points) based on recent lines. HCA: Adjustment made for home-court advantage. 2R, Semis, Final,...
Graphing Vegas' Opinion, Part Two
March 10, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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If you don't know what's going on with these, click here. Kansas Preseason AP rank: 24 Current rank: 11 It looks like everybody -- Pomeroy, Vegas, and the general public -- has pretty much the same opinion of the Jayhawks at this point, although it was an interesting path to...
2009 Conference Tourney Previews: Big East
March 09, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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It's the return of the outrageously wide tables. Click to enlarge, and full explanation below. The bracket can be found here. Seed: Projected seed in the latest version of Bracketology; "N4O" means "Next Four Out". Pom: Current Pomeroy rating. Adj.: Adjustment...
Graphing Vegas' Opinion
March 08, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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For the last few weeks I've been comparing the spreads for the top teams to their Pomeroy projections in an attempt to gauge the oddsmakers' opinions of various teams. Today I thought I'd take a look at the progression of a few top teams as the year went on; using the current...
This Week's Links (3/2-3/6)
March 06, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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More misguided criticism of C-USA, which apparently "makes the Atlantic 10 look like the ACC". Obviously. Just a fantastic slate of games this weekend, both Saturday and Sunday. Five bucks says Evans got this rebound. Rally breaks down the Manny negotiations. "PECOTA...
C-USA: Tougher Than You Think
March 05, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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"It helps that Memphis plays in a Conference (USA) where you can win 55 straight league games without breathing too hard..." -Los Angeles Times "Conference USA is just a step above the MAC, which is to say that Georgetown and Notre Dame would easily go undefeated in...
World Baseball Classic Odds
March 04, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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I wasn't going to post anything on the WBC, which starts early Thursday morning, because any attempt to handicap it would take such a ridiculous amount of work. Well, Baseball Prospectus' Clay Davenport did that work, translating players' stats from various leagues and...
"UCLA is an awful tough #5 seed"
March 04, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Seven words turned into 600 in this week's Bracketology Busters. Also, two links that'll be outdated by Friday: an updated Conference Check, and Gasaway chat Thursday at 1.
MLB Totals Contest (2009)
March 03, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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I figured we should get things rolling with this before the tournament starts. Those Bodog totals I posted ended up being somewhat bogus; they were taken down before they were even open for betting. Fortunately, The Greek is now offering totals you can actually wager on (crazy, I know...
2009 MLB Wins Over/Unders (Original)
March 03, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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Edit (3/3): Odds you can actually wager on, from The Greek, can be found here. Edit (2/25): Bodog has since taken these down, and no other site has posted over/unders. So take the following with a grain of salt, although the eventual odds will probably be quite similar.Bodog has numbers...
Jinxing Memphis
February 27, 2009 by
Vegas Watch
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This week for FanHouse I wrote about how Memphis is going to be a very scary #2 seed. If you're sick of hearing me raving about the Tigers -- certainly a reasonable stance -- just skip to the comment(s), which are enjoyable as usual. I'm going to look really smart when they...
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