I should start out by saying that I have been a lifelong Bills fan. I live just a couple minutes from the stadium, and perhaps this makes my opinion somewhat biased. Since the early 90s, with Jim Kelly, Andre Reed, Thurman Thomas, Bruce Smith, and other stars, it's been a rough go in Buffalo. Over the last decade plus, I've watched our team set the standard for mediocrity. Doug Flutie,
Drew Bledsoe, Rob Johnson and J.P. Losman have all failed. We never could get going on all cylinders, we could never rise up to the occasion in late game situations. This year, the Bills are a different team. I'm going to make a bold prediction for the Bills overall record this season. How bold you ask? 11-5 bold. I am going to run down the list of how I came to this 11-5 prediction. Maybe by the end of this article, a few of you will have changed your mind on how you view the
Buffalo Bills.
1. Schedule: WIth
Tom Brady out for the Patriots, I am confident we can split and go 1-1, winning at home against the Patriots. I will say the same for the Jets. I believe
Brett Favre makes the Jets better, but I'm not buying into the Jets. I think Favre will become the old Favre, slinging the ball around and trying to do too much. Although it's hard to say, since the Jets haven't let him off the leash yet. His style really doesn't match up well with the Bills defense (which I will mention later). With that said, let's say the Bills go a combined 2-2 against the Patriots and Jets. Our other conference rival, that's right, the previous 1-15
Miami Dolphins. In our conference I am predicting 4-2. Add that to our 2-0 start, and that would be 6-2. I believe we will beat the Raiders, Rams, Cardinals, 49ers, and Chiefs. That would make our record 11-2. That leaves three games on the schedule, the Broncos, Browns and Chargers. The Browns were overhyped, and although are a good team, are not as good as people thought they would be. This is a very winnable game. The Chargers and Broncos will both be tough games, but the defense on both teams is questionable. Also, who knows if LaDanian Tomlinson will even be healthy. Granted,
Darren Sproles is no joke, he has the ability to hit a home run every time he touches the ball. So let's just say the Bills lose all of these three games. That would put them at 11-5 on the season. No game is a given, but the Bills schedule is very favorable. Seriously, how would you feel if your favorite team was 2-0, and your schedule had the Dolphins twice, the Raiders, Rams, Cardinals, 49ers and Chiefs? Not to mention two games against a Patriots team without Brady and two against the Jets who have yet to prove anything. Pre-season, I thought the Bills would go 9-7, possibly 10-6. Now I am confident that they will go around 11-5.
2. Defense/Special Teams: It is said that special teams makes up 1/3 of the game. The Bills bring one of the top special teams every season, and our defense is healthy (unlike last season). With the additions of
Marcus Stroud and
Kawika Mitchell, along with the return of
Paul Posluszny and
Ko Simpson, the Bills defense is going to be a tough challenge for any team. When it comes to special teams, we have a great mind behind the operation in Bobby April. Our special teams has a great duo in
Brian Moorman and
Rian Lindell, along with two dangerous return men,
Terrence McGee and
Roscoe Parrish.
Leodis McKelvin will see increasing time as the season goes on, which will help greatly with his amount of talent. The Bills defense and special teams will help win the battle of field position, as well as cause turnovers and add score some points. Our turnover ratio will be much better than last season.
3.
Marshawn Lynch: Lynch has many qualities that make a running back successful. To begin with, he doesn't turn the ball over. As a rookie last season he fumbled only once, while carrying the ball 280 times. Along with this season, he has 317 carries in his career, and still only one fumble. Second, he is both fast and powerful. His stiff arm is more effective than playing Madden in rookie mode. He will wear down a defense in something he likes to call "Beast Mode". He may not put up huge numbers every game, but he is consistent, and still very young. He gives the Bills a balanced offense, giving more oppurtunity for passing game.
Fred Jackson is also a solid back. Both Lynch and Jackson can catch passes out of the backfield, an added plus.
4.
Trent Edwards: The number one thing about Edwards that makes him successful is his decision making. He makes quick, smart, sound decisions, something J.P. Losman lacked, even after years of being a starter. Edwards may not put up 300+ yard games with 4 TDs right now, but he is consistent and will continue to improve. Edwards also has a stronger arm than most realize, and with the addition of James Hardy, Edwards has a new option to go to. Hardy will be eased into playing, but will have a great impact throughout the season. Hardy's height gives the Bills something they have lacked for years. His good hands and ability to go up for the ball over shorter defensive backs makes him a
Randy Moss type threat. Expect him to show his skill in red zone situations, something the Bills have struggled with lately. Josh Reed and
Roscoe Parrish will also help Edwards spread the ball out. They may not be flashy, but once again, they are consistent.
Robert Royal will round out the majority of the receiving game. He is a solid tight end, and quite under rated in my opinion.
5. Turk Schonert: The Bills have a new offensive coordinator, and it's noticeable. Expect the Bills to stretch the field a bit more this season. Schonert seems to be mixing up and calling the right plays, unlike previous seasons. A new offensive coordinator equals a new offense. As the Bills adjust to Schonert, expect some major points up on the board.
6. Jason Peters: I have to say, holding out that early in a contract is weak sauce. Peters finally came around and joined the team, but it will take a few more weeks for him to get into shape. Having him back is a huge plus, allowing
Langston Walker to move back to the right side of the line. The Bills offensive line is solid, and will give Edwards and Lynch something to smile about.
7. The Fans: You can feel it in the air already. The general feeling amongst Bills fans is different from years past. Bills fans are among the best fans in the NFL, and they were born to tailgate. We make freezing temperatures in December look like vacation in Cancun. The 12th man will help the Bills throughout the season. In
Donte Whitner's yardbarker.com blog, he attributes much of the success in Week 1 to the fans.
So, did I convince you yet? Perhaps the soft schedule may leave the Bills questionable, but 11-5 is a realistic goal. I'm not sold on the Jets, and I'm not sold on
Matt Cassel either. Let's face it, without Brady the Patriots are like night and day. Welker will be the number one receiver this season for the Patriots, running short patterns and underneath routes.
Randy Moss has got to be unhappy about the situation, as his fantasy value and taken a 180 degree turn. Last weeks Patriots/Jets game was pretty awful to watch, but not nearly as bad as the Browns/Steelers game. The theme of the game should have been, "Get your pillow ready!" So are the
Buffalo Bills playoff bound? I say yes. Although until later in the season, the Bills will be untested. Even if things don't pan out this season, the Bills have a bright future ahead of them.