ATLANTIC DIVISION
Boston Celtics -- Three perennial All-Stars 30 and over, a 21-year-old PG to get them the ball, a lightly-regarded coach, and a populace accustomed to winning. Think there's a little pressure on Doc Rivers? No championship guarantees here, but they'll be in the hunt barring extended injuries to
Kevin Garnett and
Paul Pierce. Count on
Ray Allen to miss some time. Though they could certainly do worse than
Rajon Rondo at the point (see Telfair, Sebastian), they'll also have to find a way to keep
Kendrick Perkins on the court and Tony Allen under control.
Brian Scalabrine provides comic relief as well as an occasional triple. Still need another reliable vet off the bench. (Prediction: 51-31)
New Jersey Nets -- Health and
Vince Carter's shot selection will determine things. Nice to have the efficient
Richard Jefferson and
Nenad Krstic back healthy, but if the newly-signed VC insists on hoisting 30-footers, it won't matter much.
Jason Kidd is still around to run the show, and new big Jamal Magliore provides some much-needed muscle down low, as well as the obligatory airball from the free throw line. The bench is solid with the underrated
Bostjan Nachbar, Marcus Williams and first-round pick Sean Williams.
Jason Collins will once again finish the season with more fouls than points, but is a valuable help defender. Provided the Nets aren't in violation of child labor laws by employing coach Lawrence Frank, they'll be a tough out in the Eastern Conference playoffs. (Prediction: 48-34)
Toronto Raptors -- Won't sneak up on anyone this time, but might be even better. With a true star in
Chris Bosh in their camp, surrounded by another big man on the rise in
Andrea Bargnani and a potent PG combo in T.J. Ford and the heady
Jose Calderon, the Raptors can shoot you out of the gym.
Jason Kapono is on board to help spread the floor, and the fearless
Carlos Delfino strengthens the bench. Might lack the interior toughness required for post-season success, but have mastered the up-tempo style enough to overcome it most nights during the regular season. (Prediction 46-36)
New York Knicks -- The latest roster addition, PF
Zach Randolph, coming off a "23 and 10" campaign, is a nice player. But there is a reason why the Blazers were anxious to rid themselves of him and his $60 million obligation. There's also a reason why Phoenix wanted to get rid of
Stephon Marbury (attitude and huge contract), and
Quentin Richardson (tricky back/contract), Chicago wanted to get rid of
Eddy Curry (can score but poorly-conditioned, lazy on defense and doesn't rebound) and
Jamal Crawford (poor shot selection and contract), San Antonio wanted to get rid of
Malik Rose (contract), and Washington and Seattle didn't bother to re-sign
Jared Jeffries (can't play) and
Jerome James (Oliver Miller II/Mel Turpin III), respectively. And, without mentioning the now-deposed
Maurice Taylor,
Jalen Rose, and
Steve Francis, take a wild guess where they all wound up. Isiah Thomas, must somehow mold this cast, many of whom need the ball all the time and cannot play without it, into a cohesive unit while distributing minutes and shots. They have more than enough offensive firepower to amass some wins, but not enough basketball smarts to do it consistently. No need to discuss defense, assists, or turnovers. Some nice young players on the roster, like David Lee and
Renaldo Balkman, will have trouble getting significant minutes. Too bad. (Prediction: 37-45)
Philadelphia 76ers -- Nice second-half run last season, primarily due to the euphoria that most basketball players experience when they actually touch the ball -- a rare occurrence during the
Allen Iverson/
Chris Webber era. But this is a new day, and the lack of talent will be difficult to overcome over the course of a full season. Andres Miller and Iguodala are steady and spectacular, respectively, and sharpshooter
Kyle Korver gives punch off the bench, but shot-blocker Sam Dalembert can't shake the injury bug, and there's a huge hole at SG. Talented rookies Jason Smith and Thaddeus Young will have to grow up quickly; slithery 6'1" SG
Louis Williams simply needs to grow. (Prediction: 25-57)
CENTRAL DIVISION
Detroit Pistons -- With the veteran core intact, the Pistons are assembling a nice collection of young legs, as well.
Rodney Stuckey,
Jason Maxiell and Amir Johnson all have a chance to crack the rotation. Still, after watching slow centers drive effortlessly around
Chris Webber, it's clear the team has been adversely affected by the absence of
Ben Wallace. Now it's Rasheed's turn to man the middle, and there's enough veteran experience around for a few more playoff runs. Perhaps Flip Saunders might even get invited to a practice or two. (Prediction: 52-30)
Chicago Bulls -- Must be nice to be rewarded for making the playoffs the last two years with lottery picks. Young, hard-nosed team with that added young size - Joakim Noah and Aaron Gray -- to their already potent perimeter. Assuming they don't bust up the roster to acquire
Kobe Bryant, the young vets Gordon, Deng, and Hinrich, plus vets
Ben Wallace -- a 2006 free agent signing made possible by dumping the contracts of
Eddy Curry and
Jamal Crawford on Isiah Thomas while getting two lottery picks for good measure - and
Andres Nocioni are back for more aggression. Sophs
Tyrus Thomas, off a nice playoff run, and Thabo Sefalosha will rate minutes, too. Still lacking a low-post scorer, but a dangerous team. (Prediction: 50-32)
Cleveland Cavs -- As time goes by, we'll develop a greater appreciation of what Lebron James accomplished last year by getting this crew to the NBA Finals, weak conference notwithstanding. Andy Varejao - who has apparently lost his mind - thinks he's the one responsible for the run and allegedly wants $9-10 mil per year for his efforts. His absence weakens the bench, and the lack of roster moves amid conference-wide improvement doesn't bode well. A return to form by
Larry Hughes and rapid improvement from
Daniel Gibson and the athletic, but wild
Shannon Brown would help. (Prediction: 44-38)
Milwaukee Bucks -- Another team destroyed by injuries, but defense is still a foreign concept. Offensively potent with
Michael Redd, Mo Williams,
Charlie Villanueva and
Andrew Bogut, along with a scrapper in
Desmond Mason, they also have some reluctant parties in rookie Yi Jianlan and the re-upped
Charlie Bell. A soft group that needs to scour the waiver wires in search of a designated banger. (Prediction: 35-47)
Indiana Pacers -- First-year coach Jim O'Brien will go up-tempo, feature 3-point shooting and stress defense, but this team's fortunes will be dictated by the mental and physical state of the star player, Jermaine O'Neal. Pacers could surprise if youngsters like
Danny Granger,
Shawne Williams and
Ike Diogu emerge,
Troy Murphy returns to his pre-Don Nelson days, Jamal Tinsley stays healthy and thrives in the open court, and any contribution from Mike Dunleavy, Jr. is gladly accepted as a windfall. That's a lot to ask. Names like
Kareem Rush and
Travis Diener are being mentioned as important cogs. Scary. (Prediction 30-52)
SOUTHEAST DIVISION
Washington Wizards -- Injuries and dueling centers were a bit much to overcome last year, but with the three stars healthy and some reinforcements on the way, there's no reason to think the Wizards won't be playing in early May. Pencil in Arenas - now in his contract year - for scoring and lousy shot selection, with
Antawn Jamison and
Caron Butler ringing up impressive numbers as well.
DeShawn Stevenson is the "glue guy", while youngsters like Nick Young and skilled big man
Andray Blatche might be ready to contribute. However, defensive apathy and lack of productivity in the low post will once again prevent a deep playoff run. (Prediction: 49-33)
Orlando Magic -- Now that Stan Van Gundy has been untied, he'll have a chance to make an impact with one of the league's future stars,
Dwight Howard, who will team up with
Rashard Lewis -- a free agent signing made possible by dumping
Steve Francis' contract on Isiah Thomas - to form a potent inside-outside combo. The loss of
Grant Hill, even if he seldom suited up, will be felt. The loss of Brian Hill, however, will not. Improved play from
Jameer Nelson and J.J. Redick is a must, and the Magic could use more inside help for Howard, perhaps from
Adonal Foyle. We'll soon find out why two teams have given up on
Darko Milicic already.
Trevor Ariza, also acquired in the Francis trade, provides energy off the bench. (Prediction: 42-40)
Miami Heat -- Master motivator Pat ("The Winner Within") Riley, who has never won a title without Magic AND Kareem or Shaq AND Wade in his corner, and conveniently stuffed Stan Van Gundy into a vault with a sock in his mouth while taking credit for the Heat title two years ago, will somehow try to perform miracles with the likes of Jason Williams,
Ricky Davis and
Smush Parker. That said, the healthy return of
Dwyane Wade and more than a half-season from Shaq would still put this team in the post-season and up the value of workers like
Udonis Haslem. Team FG percentage already up as a result of dealing
Antoine Walker. (Prediction: 41-41)
Atlanta Hawks -- This year's trendy pick to have a breakout season still might be a year away. Thankfully, the availability of a second lottery pick enabled them to select a floor general, Acie Law IV, who will assume the role once
Speedy Claxton injures his knee. Joe Johnson is a star, Josh Smith is an attitude away from becoming one, and rookie Al Horford looks to be ready for big minutes. Still must find minutes for Marvin Williams and
Josh Childress, less for
Tyronn Lue. This is the year Mike Woodson must deliver. (Prediction: 36-46)
Charlotte Bobcats -- Cats have already lost two "rotation" guys for the season in
Adam Morrison and
Sean May. Added erratic Jason Richardson who will deliver scoring punch, and wisely re-signed
Gerald Wallace. PG Ray Felton no longer shares time with
Brevin Knight and now must get the FG percentage up.
Walter Herrmann and
Matt Carroll step in for Morrison on the perimeter. Okafor will miss May's presence inside, and
Jeff McInnis is currently the backup PG, presumably to provide "veteran leadership". Not good. (Prediction: 33-49)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
SOUTHWEST DIVISION
San Antonio Spurs -- While the masses were caught up in the run-and-stun antics of Dallas, Phoenix, and Golden State, the Spurs were methodically clamping down on opponents and, with a little help from the suits in the league office, were able to raise the trophy once again. Too bad there were no witnesses, but don't count on it not happening again. Duncan, Ginobilli and Parker are in their prime, though support like Horry and Finley are about done. Coach Pop will continue to drive them hard. (Prediction: 58-24)
Dallas Mavericks -- Dallas' petition to have the
Golden State Warriors moved to the Eastern Conference was rejected, but the playoff series exposed several flaws in this 67-win unit. The lack of a veteran floor general -- coach Avery Johnson would have fit the role perfectly -- was evident and was not addressed during the off-season.
Devin Harris is not the answer. They'd be better off winning 55 games and leaving the expectations to others.
Dirk Nowitzki now labeled a "choker", which is a bit harsh. With Josh Howard and
Jason Terry still around, they'll bounce back. (Prediction: 54-28)
Houston Rockets -- With the shackles of JVG now removed, Houston fans now get the other extreme, going from offensive ineptitude to defensive indifference under new coach Rick Adelman.
Shane Battier is still around to guard all five opponents, and the PG minutes will be split between
Rafer Alston, Mike James, and
Steve Francis. Mercy. Fortunately,
Yao Ming and
Tracy McGrady - now trying to shake the "loser" tag - are still around.
Bonzi Wells hangs around for minutes too, and might be a sleeper.
Luis Scola looks to man the PF slot. If nothing else, the Rockets will be more exciting to watch (Prediction: 47-35)
New Orleans Hornets --
Chris Paul now has a couple of shooters to spot on the perimeter after breaking down defenses and ankles in
Peja Stojakovic and
Morris Peterson, while
Tyson Chandler and
David West do the dirty work inside.
Bobby Jackson,
Hilton Armstrong and rookie Julian Wright head a mediocre bench corps. Nice squad who will battle for one of the last two playoff spots. (Prediction: 42-40)
Memphis Grizzles -- Marc Iavaroni puts in the "Phoenix Offense", which is not for everyone.
Damon Stoudamire will run the show until Mike Conley, Jr. is ready, which, in the coach's eyes will be sometime around Thanksgiving.
Pau Gasol and Mike Miller are back strong and should thrive in the new system, while
Rudy Gay,
Stromile Swift, and
Hakim Warrick look for consistency. The Grizz will be better, but will have trouble cracking 40 wins. (Prediction: 34-48)
NORTHWEST DIVISION
1.
Utah Jazz -- Ultra solid at PG, Center, and PF. Could be equally set at SF if Kirilenko finds peace with the unrelenting Jerry Sloan, one of the best in the business. SG has been a problem spot for years, but second-year gunner
Ronnie Brewer will get a crack at it, with rookie Morris Almond looking for minutes. While
Deron Williams,
Carlos Boozer, and
Mehmet Okur are set, the loss of
Derek Fisher's leadership will hurt some.
Matt Harpring and
Paul Millsap bring toughness off the bench. Here's yet another tough playoff opponent in the Western Conference. (Prediction: 50-32)
Denver Nuggets -- Full season with
Allen Iverson and
Carmelo Anthony, with
Kenyon Martin back along with Nene, Camby, and for now, J.R. Smith. Lots of talent, but almost as combustible as the Knicks. Still not set at PG with
Chucky Atkins injured; other option is
Anthony Carter or AI himself. Past
Eduardo Najera the bench is not very deep. George Karl already begging the team to defend, as he did unsuccessfully in Milwaukee. Only Camby is listening, but should lock up a playoff spot. (Prediction: 45-37)
Portland Trailblazers -- Bad news: Greg Oden out for the season. Good news: Blazers are likely to get another lottery pick, which they can use to fill the hole at SF. Will be fun to watch this team grow with
Brandon Roy,
LaMarcus Aldridge,
Jarrett Jack,
Martell Webster, etc. We'll also find out why
Channing Frye's first word upon learning of his trade from the Knicks was, "Hallelujah!" Still not a playoff team even with Oden, but in two years, when these young guys are ready to deal, will use the cap room freed-up by trading
Zach Randolph to the Knicks to sign a solid veteran or two. (Prediction: 35-47)
Minnesota Timberwolves -- New era with Garnett gone, but they weren't winning anyway, and probably won't until someone rescues Kevin McHale from his managerial responsibilities. Al Jefferson is a nice start, as is Corey Brewer.
Ryan Gomes will help and
Randy Foye will get some needed experience this year also. Wolves fans will shed no tears over trading
Ricky Davis or the buyout of
Juwan Howard.
Gerald Green, Rashard McCants, and
Craig Smith will be counted on for minutes, while the newly acquired
Antoine Walker provides veteran "leadership". Check back in a couple of years. (Prediction: 29-53)
Seattle Supersonics -- Kevin Durant arrives to give hope to a basketball city that, quite frankly, deserves better than the Bob Weiss/Bob Hill-led squads they've been subjected to in recent years. Jeff Green is a good addition though probably not looking at superstardom. PG would be fine if
Earl Watson and
Luke Ridnour could be combined into one. No star quality at the power positions with
Kurt Thomas,
Nick Collison, and
Chris Wilcox, but each could help a contender. Center
Robert Swift will help when fully recovered from the torn ACL. Rough times ahead for new coach P.J. Carlesimo. (Prediction: 26-56)
PACIFIC DIVISION
Phoenix Suns -- Still reeling from the playoff defeat at the hands of the
San Antonio Spurs, the Suns add
Grant Hill,
Brian Skinner, and D.J. Strawberry to the already lethal mix.
Shawn Marion is back, as is Amare Stoudamire,
Raja Bell,
Boris Diaw, and Leandro Barbosa. Defense still needs improvement, but the catalyst remains
Steve Nash, a 2004 free-agent signing made possible by dumping the contracts of
Stephon Marbury and Penny Hardaway on Isiah Thomas. Should do no worse than the Western Conference Finals. (Prediction: 59-23)
Golden State Warriors -- Not a championship contender -- Don Nelson-coached teams never are - but a team no one wants to face in the post-season.
Baron Davis is a top-flight player when healthy and in shape.
Monta Ellis, Stephen Jackson,
Al Harrington,
Mickael Pietrus, Matyt Barnes form the perimeter, while
Andris Biedrins does the dirty work inside. Add the speedy
Troy Hudson and rookie sharpshooter Marco Bellinelli to the track team and opponents should get ready to huff and puff. It's difficult, however, to imagine the Warriors not feeling the loss of Jason Richardson. (Prediction: 46-36)
L.A. Lakers -- Anyone else wonder what
Kobe Bryant looks like when he's happy? Had the entire package -- championships and recognition as one of the game's best but it still wasn't enough. Wanted all the glory, too. Exit Shaquille O'Neal, enter Andrew "Bleeping" Bynum. Now wants to be traded to a contender, apparently not realizing the pieces that make those teams contenders will be the cost of obtaining him. His best bet is to stay where he is, let guys like Bynum,
Luke Walton, Javaris Crittendon grow, hope guys like
Kwame Brown and
Brian Cook figure things out, learn to get the best out of the multi-skilled
Lamar Odom and hand out with one of the game's best coaches in Phil Jackson. Championships are not a birthright. (Prediction: 44-38)
L.A Clippers -- The Clippers are back. Those imposters who were making playoff appearances and having Hollywood stars show up at Staples Center when the Lakers WEREN'T playing have left the building. The franchise is now as jinxed as ever. With franchise cornerstones
Shaun Livingston and
Elton Brand both out with devastating injuries, that leaves injury-prone guards
Sam Cassell and
Brevin Knight to run the show and the underachieving Tim Thomas (also injured) to get the bulk of Brand's minutes. Center
Chris Kaman tries to rebound from a sub-par season,
Cuttino Mobley is on the decline and
Corey Maggette wants to -- and should - start. Rookie Al Thornton has turned some heads in the pre-season. Is the LA Sports Arena still renting out? (Prediction: 33-49)
Sacramento Kings -- Former UNLV Runnin' Rebel and NBA star Reggie Theus brings an iron hand to Northern California, preaching discipline and defensive responsibility. Let's just hope Spencer Hawes' uncle Steve or
Mike Bibby's father, Henry, both former NBA-ers, don't remember Reggie getting buried on the bench for almost an entire season by Bulls coach Kevin Loughery for defensive apathy. While Reggie isn't the first matador to preach defense upon joining the coaching ranks, he'll have his hands full with this deficient group of stoppers.
Ron Artest will get in the stance when he's on the court - another uncertainty. Bibby, now injured, along with
Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Kevin Martin,
Mikki Moore and the youngsters. Another long year in Sacramento. (Prediction: 30-52)
Finals: San Antonio over Chicago in 6