2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Top 20 Closers

I hate closers. Okay, that’s a little extreme, but I hate saves. The problem with saves is that they are almost completely dependent on what a team does and not what the individual does. So, forecasting closers is a bit myopic. I refuse to give into the game of forecasting saves. It depends on the quality of the team, whether they will play in a lot of close games, and the quality...
Via The Fantasy Fix
4 days ago

RazzBlitz Podcast: Special Guest Charles McDonald

If you haven't heard of Charles McDonald yet, it won't be long. He's one of the fastest rising stars in the football media world and a celebrated film watcher for #footballtwitter. You can check out his awesome work at Setting the Edge and Football Outsiders. We start the Podcast by talking about his presentation at the Sloan analytics conference in Boston and that rolls right into...
Via Razzball Football
5 days ago  |  Discuss

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 1-20

We have reached the moment where we have finally gotten to the best starting pitchers on the market. It shouldn’t be any surprise that most of these guys are clumped on teams that are destined to be there in October. The old adage goes that great pitching beats great hitting. Many of these players will be the same as the previous list this offseason, but more players have gone off...
Via The Fantasy Fix
5 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Handicapping the Remaining Free Agents

For the discerning baseball fan, there are several sites that become go to sources for information. is usually the best resource for general statistical information. and have good advanced statistics and commentary on those statistics. However, if one wants to find out the most recent news on free agents and trades they...
Via The Fantasy Fix
6 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Throwing Darts Late In Your Draft, Part II

As promised, part 2 of the last round draft dart throws features outfielders and pitching. Remembering the criteria for inclusion; they must have an Average Draft Position of 300+ across ESPN, CBS and Yahoo). So, without further ado, let’s get into it. Outfielders Nick Williams (ESPN N/a – CBS 318 – Yahoo – 344) Williams’ minor league career translates to a .280 hitter with 20 home...
Via The Fantasy Fix
6 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Using K%+IFFB%-BB% To Target Pitchers

The fantasy baseball industry is lucky to have many analysts with interesting strategies up their sleeves to target players. One particular strategy I’ve enjoyed using over the years is K%+IFFB%-BB% to target pitchers. Strikeouts and the ability to induce easy pop ups seems like a recipe for fantasy success. In a perfect world, I’m trying to pair two of the top 20 hurlers along with...
Via The Fantasy Fix
7 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: March Market Wrap-up

There have been a ton of theories that could could explain the realitive inactivity of the offseason. We have seen more significant deals in March than at any time in history. Personally, I tend to believe it has more to do with a market correction than anything else. Sure, there are always other factors and the MLBPA is certainly entitled to question the motives of some franchises...
Via The Fantasy Fix
7 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Throwing Darts Late In Your Draft, Part I

Draft season is in full swing and there’s some meaningful data coming out of the early drafts now, specifically players ADP (Average Draft Position). Every site is different, every draft is different. But one thing always rings true, we want late round value. Looking at the ADP from ESPN, CBS and Yahoo, we’ve got player(s) from each position who are currently predominately undrafted...
Via The Fantasy Fix
7 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 21-40

As we move through the starting pitchers we begin to see some separation. These rankings are based on PECOTA’s 2018 projections. At best, these rankings should be taken in concern with the previous rankings that were based on past performance. When these two rankings are taken in concert then they take a lot more sense. In this article, we will be looking at the PECOTA projections...
Via The Fantasy Fix
7 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 41-60

We’ve gone through just about every position with our reboot of the rankings. PECOTA does pretty well with position player projections, but pitching is a more challenging group. There are so many moving parts that are beyond the pitcher’s control. We still have a few free agents left. Making predictions for them when they don’t have a team of fielders or home ballpark seems like...
Via The Fantasy Fix
10 days ago

RazzBlitz Podcast: Good Guice and Bad Guys

Reid joins me for a quick review of the big combine story lines. We talked about peculiar questions that the draft prospects receive and what needs to happen to change them. We also dive into a big draft climber and a free faller. We finish up by taking our final guesses for landing spots for the biggest free agents.
Via Razzball Football
10 days ago  |  Discuss

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Drafting Miguel Cabrera

I’ve finished my rankings and just doing the usual finessing which occurs during Spring Training every year. You know, when Brent Honeywell’s season is over before it begins and you bump up another starting pitcher. Then continue to change things every day when someone else gets injured. That sort of finessing. When it occurred to me: I have no idea if I’m too high or too low on...
Via The Fantasy Fix
11 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part III

We have finally reached the end of our reboot on the rankings. One of the things you will notice about outfielders is that there is not a ton of separation between them. This is where we reach our concept of value. Some of these players might be better offensive players than their infield counterparts, but they become fourth and fifth fantasy outfielders. This happens because their...
Via The Fantasy Fix
11 days ago

Fantasy Football 2018 Free Agency Primer

Yesterday was the cut off for franchise tags which makes the free agency picture a little bit clearer. Free agency is coming up next week so I suppose we should talk about the players on the market. What teams plan on doing in the draft seems as relevant as ever when it comes to free agency this year. There are a lot of teams in need of a quarterback. If you’ve been paying attention...
Via Razzball Football
12 days ago  |  Discuss

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part II

In that last edition we took a look at the top 20 fantasy outfielders according to the PECOTA projections. Naturally, when we start looking at 21-40 we start seeing far less separation. So, sometimes we have to apply our own instincts and we must define our terms. We are looking primarily at six category formats. That includes walks. Of course, guys who walk a lot also tend to support...
Via The Fantasy Fix
13 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part One

The rankings took a beating as they always seem to do. If there is anything universal, it is our need to trash others rankings. I’m happy to play along. The previous rankings were based primarily on past performance and not projections. So, we will reboot the rankings here based primarily on PECOTA projections at Baseball Prospectus. Before, we separated outfielders according to...
Via The Fantasy Fix
14 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Position PECOTA Projections– Third Basemen

The beginning of Spring Training is always a good opportunity to reboot the rankings at each position. Drafts are coming up next month and the rankings earlier in the offseason were based on players before they moved to new teams and on past performance. Baseball Prospectus has released their PECOTA projections and we will use that to gauge each player’s value based on future projections...
Via The Fantasy Fix
18 days ago

RazzBlitz Podcast: Running Backs and Wide Receivers

We continue our off season journey joined by special guest and resident Eagle's fan Mike Maher. Mike talks about the future of Nick Foles, Legarrette Blount and the tight cap that the Eagles are up against. Reid and Viz join us as well to talk about the impending free agency class. Reid adds to his weekly Hue Jackson rant series, and we all dig into the dinosaur coach problem in the NFL.
Via Razzball Football
18 days ago  |  Discuss

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Position PECOTA Projections– Shortstops

Spring Training games are in the books. When that happens it is usually high time to reboot the rankings at every position. Players have changed uniforms later this offseason than most and the first round of rankings took a beating. They always do because they are usually based on past performance. This time, they are based primarily on Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projections. We...
Via The Fantasy Fix
21 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projection Rankings– Second Basemen

Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA projections always come at a time of year where it is a good idea to reboot the rankings. The first round of rankings are based largely on past performance in the various formats. Past performance can be valuable, but sometimes it is inappropriate for the future. So, we use these PECOTA projections to reboot each position. We are including the six main...
Via The Fantasy Fix
21 days ago
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