Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Jan 22, 2024 3:00 PM ET

Louisville (6-12, 1-6 ACC) is set to face Duke (13-4, 4-2 ACC) on Tuesday, Jan. 23 at 7:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

- Rankings:

	Duke	Louisville
AP/USA TODAY	7th/6th	NR/NR
NET	19th	225th
RPI	63rd	257th
SOS	99th	117th
BPI	9th	231st
KenPom	13th	193rd
Torvik	24th	211th

- Team Leaders:

	Duke	Louisville
Points	Kyle Filipowski (18.2)	Mike James (14.1)
Rebounds	Kyle Filipowski (8.6)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.3)
Assists	Tyrese Proctor (3.9)	Ty-Laur Johnson (3.5)
Steals	Jeremy Roach (1.5)	Ty-Laur Johnson (1.1)
Blocks	Kyle Filipowski (1.9)	Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9)

- Scoring:

	Duke	Louisville
Points Per Game	81.6	73.1
Field Goal %	48.3%	43.6%
FGM/FGA Per Game	28.6/59.3	25.3/58.2
Three Point %	37.9%	32.3%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.2/21.7	5.9/18.4
Free Throw %	74.7%	73.9%
FTM/FTA Per Game	16.1/21.6	16.5/22.3

- Rebounding:

	Duke	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.5	35.2
Off. Reb. Per Game	9.6	10.4
Def. Reb. Per Game	25.9	24.8
Rebound Margin	3.6	-0.1

- Defense:

	Duke	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	66.9	77.8
Opp. FG%	43.3%	46.2%
Opp. 3P%	34.5%	35.0%
Steals Per Game	7.1	5.3
Blocks Per Game	4.1	2.8
Turnovers Forced Per Game	13.1	11.7

- Ball Handling:

	Duke	Louisville
Assists Per Game	16.4	11.5
Turnovers Per Game	9.3	12.2
Turnover Margin	3.8	-0.5
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.8	0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 5.8 percent chance to win against Duke.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 10 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 84-70 in favor of Duke.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 14 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 84-72 in favor of Duke.

- Personal Prediction: Duke 89, Louisville 74.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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