Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Will Aaron Judge eclipse Roger Maris' HR mark?

Aaron Judge might lead all of baseball in home runs, but a far bigger question remains: will he break Roger Maris' single-season home run total of 61? Well, guess what? You can bet on it. 

Caesars Sports has Judge's home run total set at 61.5 and is currently taking bets on the over/under. The over is set at +150, while the under is -180. If you like the over, jump on it immediately. Currently, a $100 bet on the over wins $150. If you like the under you might want to wait, since you have to bet $180 to win $100.

You may be asking yourself why this is such a big deal, and rightfully so. It's not like Maris' 61 single-season home runs is an MLB record, right? Technically, you're correct. Barry Bonds set the single-season home run record with 73 back in 2001. And both Mark McGwire (70) and Sammy Sosa (66) broke Maris' record in 1998.

All three of those players played in the steroid era, however, and each has been accused of using steroids and performance-enhancing drugs. So, for some, Maris' 61 is still viewed as "the record." Enough about the past though, let's talk about whether or not Judge will break Maris' total. 

Judge leads MLB with a HR/AB of 9.05 and is currently on pace to hit 66 home runs. That's if Judge continues to homer at this pace, and that's asking a lot. Judge didn't homer on Sunday after homering four times in the previous three games. However, Judge did receive five plate appearances, but only three counted as at-bats because he walked twice. 

With Judge scorching hot, expect to see him walk a lot more. Don't get me wrong, Judge is capable of breaking Maris' record, but he has to see enough good pitches to do it. Remember how often Bonds walked once opposing teams realized he was the best hitter in the game? Well, that's what Judge is going to experience for the remainder of the season. Opposing teams aren't going to let Judge beat them. They're going to make guys lower in the lineup, like Anthony Rizzo and Gleyber Torres, beat them.

Plus, the Yankees might not give him the best chance to break the franchise single-season record. New York has the best record in the AL and leads the AL East by a whopping 11.5 games. If the Bronx Bombers continue to play well, there's a good chance Judge doesn't play in every game, especially come September. To give New York the best chance of winning a championship, the Yanks will need Judge well rested and healthy for the postseason. That means he'll get more days off or not play entire games. 

I still expect Judge to remain the MVP favorite and see his on-base percentage skyrocket, but I don't see him breaking Maris' record. He might tie it with 61, but that's not the bet Caesars is offering. In a tough decision, I'm taking the under.

The Bet: Aaron Judge Under 61.5 Home Runs (-180) via Caesars Sportsbook


In Other News ...

Watson suspended six games — Cleveland Browns QB Deshaun Watson has been suspended six games for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy following allegations of sexual misconduct, disciplinary officer Sue L. Robinson ruled on Monday. Two dozen women have filed civil lawsuits against Watson, alleging he committed sexual assault and inappropriate conduct during massage sessions when playing for the Houston Texans. Twenty-three of those lawsuits reportedly have been settled. The Browns traded three first-round picks to the Texans in exchange for Watson back in March and then guaranteed him a five-year, $230-million, fully guaranteed contact.

Bill Russell passes away at 8811-time NBA champion Bill Russell died at the age of 88 on Sunday. The former Celtic holds the NBA Finals record for championships, appearances, games played, rebounds and minutes, and he is considered one of the greatest players in NBA history.

49ers extend Deebo Samuel The San Francisco 49ers signed WR Deebo Samuel to a three-year, $73.5 million contract extension, including $58.1 million guaranteed. Samuel was named to the All-Pro Team last season and was in the final year of his rookie contract. 


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jared Shlensky

More must-reads:

TODAY'S BEST
How the Steelers' future quarterback plans could be in jeopardy
Bob Baffert horse suddenly scratched from Kentucky Derby
Reggie Miller had to 'calm down' JJ Redick during meeting, HC was behaving 'childishly'
Chicago Bears criticized for potential NFL Draft reach
Josh Allen shares honest opinion on James Cook situation
Browns' Shedeur Sanders voices Super Bowl goal while speaking with Cleveland students
Steelers have a potential star who is seriously flying under the radar
NBA insider claims major changes could be looming for Celtics
LeBron James takes a swipe at Lakers front office
Watch: Mets OF Juan Soto blasts two home runs to snap Citi Field drought
Suns have hired a new general manager
Steelers’ Will Howard signals a powerful shift for team in 2025
Diamondbacks in danger of falling further back in NL West after injury double whammy
Resurgent Big East program to replace UCLA at CBS Sports Classic
Clemson basketball star turning to football
Giants GM vowing to stick with original Jaxson Dart plan
Patriots vet has blunt take about HC Mike Vrabel’s style: 'Don’t take that the wrong way'
Cardinals coach makes big claim about Marvin Harrison Jr. after disappointing rookie season
NBA insider rips 'immature' Lakers head coach JJ Redick following first-round exit
Key Phillies lefty set for return

Want more MLB news?

Join the hundreds of thousands of fans who start their day with Yardbarker's Morning Bark, the best newsletter in sports.