Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction and odds, Thu., 8-18: Can Corbin Burnes slow L.A.?

Yardbarker Quick Pick

We're seeing some great value on the Los Angeles end. Andrew Heaney is on the mound for L.A., and while he is on a confirmed pitch count, he has been dominant this season. Heaney has an astounding 1.16 ERA in seven appearances this season and his Ks/inning and swinging-strike rate are both in the 90th percentile. Milwaukee can't hit lefties and has been fanning at the fifth-highest rate against them in the past month. Then you add that the Dodgers lineup is built to whack RHPs and we think Corbin Burnes could be in for a tough outing. Dodgers -112 is our bet. — Griffin Carroll, Yardbarker

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Los Angeles Dodgers: -1 (-118) spread, -112 moneyline, over 7.5 (-104)
Milwaukee Brewers: +1 (-143) spread, -105 moneyline, under 7.5 (-115)

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Los Angeles, 36-7 since June 29, has not lost two straight since July 25-26.

The Brewers, who were blanked 4-0 in the series opener, were held to one run or none on Wednesday for the 19th time this season. They went 2-17 in those contests.

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"It's a tough team to beat," Brewers manager Craig Counsell said. "We've got to play well to beat them. They've earned a great record, and they've obviously been the team to knock off in the National League for a while now. And you've got to play good to beat them."

Heaney, sidelined much of the season due to left-shoulder inflammation, will make his eighth start and his fifth since coming off his second injured-list stint in late July.

Heaney, who has never faced Milwaukee, has not pitched more than 4 2/3 innings in any of his past four starts, but he has allowed just three earned runs over that span.

In his latest outing, against the Kansas City Royals on Saturday, Heaney gave up two runs on three hits in three innings but left after getting hit on the left arm by a line drive.

"I'm fine -- just threw a pitch right down the middle and couldn't get out of the way," Heaney said afterward. "I wanted to stay in, but it didn't happen. It was more of a precautionary thing, I guess."

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Burnes has a 2.47 ERA with 57 strikeouts and 13 walks in 43 2/3 innings over his past seven starts but is just 1-1 over that span. In his latest start, he allowed one run in seven innings but did not get the decision on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals.

"I thought Corbin was really (at a) high level of execution tonight," Counsell said after the Saturday game. "You know there's no secret as far as pitches or sequences, and you know what your stuff is going to do, and so it's just execution. And Corbin just executed a ton of pitches tonight. Possibly the best start we've seen from him this year."

Burnes is 1-1 with a 10.38 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) vs. the Dodgers.

"It's a playoff atmosphere when you're facing the team with the best record in the league and you're competing with them each and every game," said Milwaukee's Keston Hiura, who had one of the two singles off Gonsolin. "I'd say it all just comes down to (Thursday), and you go from there."

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