Cubs vs. Dodgers prediction, pick, odds for Monday, Sept. 9

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds

Monday, Sept. 9

10:10 p.m. ET

MLB.TV

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers

Nick Martin’s Cubs vs. Dodgers Preview

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview: Hendricks Not Looking Good

Hendricks has been among the very worst pitchers in baseball this season; his 6.60 ERA is the second-worst mark of any starter to throw over 50 innings. It's by far the worst mark of his 11-year MLB career.

At age 34, Hendricks' level has obviously dropped considerably from where it once was. He likely had some favorable luck in 2023 when he posted a 3.74 ERA, but now the opposite looks to be true this season.

His Pitching+ rating of 100 is actually considerably better than last year's mark of 93, and his xFIP is nearly identical (4.47).

Over the last 30 days, Cubs relievers have a 4.08 ERA, with a 13th-ranked xFIP of 3.89. They've struck out 10.39 batters per nine in that span (10th-best in the MLB).

Since the All-Star break, the Cubs rank 15th in wRC+ (105) and 16th versus right-handed pitching.

They enter this matchup looking to bounce back from an ugly homestand in which they scored three runs or less in five of six games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Buehler Showing Positive Signs

Buehler, as well as manager Dave Roberts, both felt good about how he pitched last week versus Baltimore.

He pitched well against the Angels too, allowing two runs in five innings of work with six strikeouts. Across those two outings, Buehler has pitched to an ERA of 3.71 and holds an xFIP of 4.39.

He also struck out 9.31 batters per nine, which is up considerably from his average on the year.

The Dodgers have hit to a fifth-ranked wRC+ of 118 versus right-handed pitching since the All-Star break, which included the first meaningful sample of the season with a healthy lineup.

Teoscar Hernandez remains day-to-day ahead of this series after taking a pitch off the ankle, but he did receive positive news after tests came back negative.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis

Both of these once-dominant starters have had horrid results this season, but that's well compensated by a betting total of 9.5 in a game taking place at Dodger Stadium.

Buehler has showed out well in his last two outings and could be a player to watch down the stretch based on the pitcher he once was.

He gets a good matchup to build on his excellent showing versus the Angels here and will lead into a solid bullpen.

Hendricks still ranks right at league average in Pitching+ and features an xFIP that's comparable to his last two seasons.

Nobody is trying to sell that he's a better-than-average starter, but he should better his 6.60 ERA the rest of the way.

Pick: Under 9.5 (+100 | Play to -130)

Moneyline

The Dodgers are 47-24 at home this season, which is tied with Philadelphia for the best win percentage in the MLB. They're also 80-44 as a favorite this season.

The Cubs are 35-37 on the road this season. They've been horrible as a favorite (28-43), but they've overachieved significantly as an underdog (42-28).

Over/Under

Games at Dodger Stadium are 39-29-3 against the total this season. Games in which the Dodgers are a favorite are 67-53-3.

Cubs totals are 34-34-4 (O/U) on the road this season and 29-40-1 when Chicago is an underdog.

›Cubs-Dodgers Betting Trends

• 88 % of the bets and 87% of the money are on the Dodgers on the moneyline.
• 80% of the bets and 85% of the money are on the over.
• 16% of the bets and 26% of the money are on the Cubs to cover the run line.

Cubs Betting Trends

• The Cubs are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• The Cubs are 39-34 on the road against the spread.
• The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 games on the road.
• The under is 4-1 in the Cubs last five games.

Dodgers Betting Trends

• The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• The Dodgers are 39-32 at home against the spread.
• The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
• The under is 4-1 in the Dodgers last five games.

About the Author

Nick Martin is a writer for The Action Network's NHL and MLB verticals, and is a co-host of Action's Line Change hockey podcast. Before becoming a full-time writer and handicapper, he acquired numerous personal and group training certifications and worked full-time in the fitness and recreation fields.

Follow Nick Martin @nickm_hockey on Twitter/X.