Pete Crow-Armstrong, Ian Happ, and the Chicago Cubs are officially headed to the 2025 MLB postseason.
The Cubs clinched a playoff berth, their first since the 2020 COVID season, in Wednesday’s 8-4 victory over the rival Pittsburgh Pirates. Although the Cubs won’t win the NL Central, they remain on track to capture the NL’s top Wild Card seed and host the San Diego Padres in the first round.
“This is the right group to do it with, and I love being a Chicago Cub,” Crow-Armstrong told reporters. “I love being able to celebrate with these people, specifically.”
Unfortunately for the Cubs, there is no guarantee they’ll have All-Star outfielder Kyle Tucker in October. Tucker hurt his left calf on Sept. 2 and traveled to Tampa earlier this week to get a second opinion. Cubs manager Craig Counsell admitted that Tucker has “plateaued” in his recovery, and it remains unclear if he’ll return ahead of the playoffs.
So, what could the Cubs’ playoff lineup look like? Considering Tucker’s calf injury, we have omitted him from our predicted Wild Card Round roster.
1. |
Michael Busch |
1B |
2. |
Ian Happ |
LF |
3. |
Seiya Suzuki |
RF |
4. |
Pete Crow-Armstrong |
CF |
5. |
Nico Hoerner |
2B |
6. |
Carson Kelly |
C |
7. |
Moisés Ballesteros |
DH |
8. |
Dansby Swanson |
SS |
9. |
Matt Shaw |
3B |
Game 1 SP: |
Matthew Boyrd |
SP |
There's a lot of players whose names start with "M" in that lineup, aren't there?
Happ has alternated between hitting second and third in Tucker’s absence, but we get the sense that Counsell will want him ahead of Suzuki in the Wild Card Round. Although Crow-Armstrong has hit sixth at times in the second half, we feel that the Cubs are better off using him in the cleanup spot.
You might be surprised to see Busch, a 6-foot, 210-pound first baseman, hitting leadoff. However, he’s reaching base at a .330 clip and has 29 home runs, 81 RBIs, and 22 doubles in just over 554 plate appearances. Counsell clearly trusts Busch at the top of the order, though we’d prefer Hoerner there.
Speaking of Hoerner, he’s posted a team-high 6.3 bWAR with 28 stolen bases, 29 doubles, and a .754 OPS. That’s precisely what you want from your No. 2 hitter, especially if Tucker can’t play.
Swanson has quietly given the Cubs 4.7 bWAR, though his .726 OPS is barely above league average. Meanwhile, Shaw is easily the Cubs’ weak spot, with a forgettable .668 OPS in 407 plate appearances. At least Shaw, the 2023 No. 13 pick who debuted in March, offers some speed (16 stolen bases in 21 attempts) and a slightly above-average 8.8% walk rate.
Then, there’s Moisés Ballesteros, who MLB Pipeline considers the Cubs’ second-best prospect behind outfielder Owen Caissie. The 21-year-old Ballesteros entered Wednesday hitting .308 with two home runs, nine RBIs, and a .925 OPS in 44 plate appearances. Let’s see how Ballesteros handles the October spotlight.
As for Boyd, the first-time All-Star has recorded a 3.20 ERA and 2.4 bWAR in 174 1/3 innings. He’s an acceptable Game 1 starter, and his 5.9% walk rate is easily a career-best.
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