NBA Props for Monday March 11: Such a deal on Beal

By Matt Wiesenfeld | Last updated 3/11/24

We closed last week with another classic 2-2, net profit day on Friday. The two winners covered with ease, but Ty Jones and Buddy Hield came up short.

This week we have a lot more urgency to the college hoops slate but there are still going to be good values in the NBA props markets most nights. Tonight we have just six NBA games to choose from. It is a light slate in terms of interest too. The best we can do is Phoenix at Cleveland.

NBA Props for Monday, March 11

Ayo Dosunmu Over 14.5 Points (+100)

No, there is not going to be an Ayo Dosunmu prop every night (that would be silly). The simple fact is that as a starter he has proven to be a productive player, and more efficient. Tonight he has a favorable matchup against Dallas who does not play a ton of defense on the wing. The last time the Bulls played Dallas he had just eight points, but that was in only 10 minutes. As a starter, he is getting triple that in minutes most nights.

Alex Caruso Over 10.5 Points (+100)

I like the pairing of this with the bet above. Chicago is expected to be competitive tonight and I don't see a game script where that happens and Caruso and Dosunmu (above) are not contributing on the score sheet. Caruso is starting at the No. 4 some nights these days. Caruso's numbers are always stronger at home too.

Brandon Miller Over 5.5 Rebounds (+114)

Miller has been getting better as the season has progressed. In March he is posting his best scoring and rebounding numbers and both are solid plays tonight. I like the rebounding prop better because of the payoff and Detroit is hardly a force on the board. This competitive game should see a little bit of a minutes spike too.

Bradley Beal Over 1.5 Three Pointers (+120)

Devin Booker is back after missing some time tonight. That is not going to cut into the opportunities of Beal all that much. Over the last 10 games he has made at least two threes in every game but two where he had more than one attempt. That is six for eight. His 38% make rate is his best since the 2016-17 season.

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