NFL Super Wild Card Weekend: Player props for Monday

Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Quez Watkins over 2.5 receptions (+160 ESPN BET)

With A.J. Brown out for Monday night's game, someone outside of DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert needs to step up for the Eagles. We'll take our chances with Watkins, who caught eight of his 11 targets for 93 yards and a touchdown in Week 18 against the New York Giants. 

Baker Mayfield under 10.5 rushing yards (-115 ESPN BET)

This line makes no sense. Here are Mayfield's rushing yards in the last six games of the regular season: 7, -1, 5, -2, 3, -2. The Buccaneers QB hasn't had any success with his legs over the last two months, and now he's dealing with rib and ankle injuries that limited him in practice all week.

Mayfield will do his best to avoid taking any big hits in this game, so scrambling out of the pocket will be a last resort for him. 

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills

Jaylen Warren over 3.5 receptions (+120 DraftKings)

What do we know about Mason Rudolph after his three starts this season? Well, for one, he might be the best quarterback on Pittsburgh's roster. Secondly, he loves checking it down to his running backs, especially Warren.

In Rudolph's three starts, Warren has 15 targets and 14 catches for 70 yards. He's gone over 3.5 receptions in all three of those games, and he should see plenty of receiving work if the Steelers have to play from behind as huge underdogs. 

Dawson Knox under 13.5 receiving yards (-110 FanDuel)

When Knox missed six weeks in the middle of the season, Dalton Kincaid officially stole his starting job. Kincaid out-snapped Knox in three of the Bills' last five games of the regular season, and the rookie has been a much more productive receiver.

Over the last five weeks, Knox has just eight targets, seven catches and 84 receiving yards. His receiving role should be even smaller against the Steelers with freezing cold temperatures and high winds projected for Monday afternoon.